Thu, Jun 24, 2021 @ 04:06 GMT

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2013; (P) 1.2046; (R1) 1.2070; More….

A temporary top is formed at 1.2079 in EUR/USD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 1.1941 support holds. As noted before, correction from 1.2348 should have completed with three waves down to 1.1703. Break of 1.2079 will target 1.2442/2348 resistance zone. However, break of 1.1941 will argue that the rebound from 1.1703 has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that whole rise from 1.10635 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289.

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