Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0901; (P) 1.0978; (R1) 1.1019; More…
EUR/USD’s break of 1.0929 minor support confirms short term topping at 1.1138, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.0772 support. Sustained break there will argue that whole rise from 1.0447 has completed, and break deeper fall back to this support. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0998) holds, in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and below.
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