GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.77; (P) 143.16; (R1) 143.61; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise from 131.51 would now target trendline resistance at around 147.56. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside at first attempt. On the downside, below 142.71 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rise will remain in favor as long as 139.43 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 (2018 high) already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. No change in this view. Strong rebound from 131.51 argues that fall from 156.59 is just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36. Break of 149.38 resistance will confirm the third leg has started to 159.69, and possibly above. Nevertheless, break of 131.51 will pave the way to retest 122.26 low.

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