GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2095; (P) 1.2135; (R1) 1.2193; More….

GBP/USD weakens mildly today but stays in consolidation above 1.2014. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. With 1.2209 minor resistance intact, near term outlook remains bearish and further fall is expected. On the downside break of 1.2014 will target 1.1946 low first. Firm break there will target 100% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2391 from 1.3381 at 1.1396. On the upside, break of 1.2209 resistance will suggest short term bottoming. In this case, lengthier consolidation should be seen first before another decline.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4376 (2018 high) is extending towards 1.1946 low. We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But decisive break will resume down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) to 61.8% projection of 1.7190 to 1.1946 from 1.4376 at 1.1135. In any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.3381 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

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