Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2970; (P) 1.2998; (R1) 1.3030; More…
A temporary low is in place at 1.2950 with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline will be expected as long as 1.3111 resistance holds. As noted before, price actions from 1.1946 are seen as a corrective pattern and could have completed at 1.3267. Break of 1.2932 will affirm this bearish case and target 1.2588 key near term support for confirmation. However, break of 1.3111 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3267 high.
In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a corrective pattern that is still in progress. While further upside is expected, larger outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3444 key resistance holds. Down trend from 1.7190 (2014 high) is expected to resume later after the correction completes. And break of 1.2588 will indicate that such down trend is resuming.