GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2715; (P) 1.2769; (R1) 1.2807; More…

GBP/USD’s break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2760) indicates short term topping at 1.2829. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.2673). Sustained break there will target 1.2517 structural support next. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.2822 minor resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which is still in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2517 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.

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