Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2386; (P) 1.2466; (R1) 1.2585; More

GBP/USD rebounded strongly after hitting 1.2346 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Price actions from 1.1946 are viewed as a consolidation, no change in this view. In case of another rise, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.2774 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.2346 will revive the case that such consolidation is completed at 1.2705 already. In that case, intraday bias will turn back to the downside for retesting 1.1946 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term bottoming yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

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GBP/USD 4 Hours Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

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