USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3213; (P) 1.3250; (R1) 1.3298; More

USD/CAD recovered ahead of 1.3180 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 1.3180 might extend. But further decline is still expected as long as 1.3375 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3180 will resume the fall from 1.3664 to 61.8% projection of 1.3664 to 1.3180 from 1.3375 at 1.3076 next.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) is not clearly impulsive so far. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3036) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high).

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