USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3233; (P) 1.3260; (R1) 1.3314; More

USD/CAD retreats notably today but with 1.3177 minor support intact, intraday bias remains mildly on the upside. Pull back from 1.3382 should have completed at 1.3133. Rebound from 1.3016 is possibly resuming. Further rise would be seen to 1.3382 resistance first. Break will confirm this bullish case and target 1.3564 resistance next. However, break of 1.3177 will dampen this week and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3016 low.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

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