Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3127; (P) 1.3140; (R1) 1.3161; More….

USD/CAD’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.3327 resistance. We’re favoring the case that corrective pattern from 1.3664 has completed as a triangle at 1.2951. Break of 1.3327 should confirm this bullish view and pave the way for a retest on 1.3664 high. In any case, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3104 resistance turned support holds, in case of retreat.

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In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.3664, after failing 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, structure of price actions from 1.3664 argues that it’s probably just a corrective move. Hence, while further fall cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.2863.


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