USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2651; (P) 1.2691; (R1) 1.2717; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2608 turns bias to the downside for 1.2588 low. Firm break there will resume larger down from 1.4667, to 61.8% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2588 from 1.2880 at 1.2385. On the upside, though, break of 1.2745 resistance will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2588 with another rise, towards 1.2880 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

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