Fri, Aug 12, 2022 @ 21:51 GMT

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2832; (P) 1.2864; (R1) 1.2908; More

USD/CAD recovered quickly after dipping to 1.2818 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the downside, below 1.2818 will extend the fall from 1.3077 to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2795). Sustained break there will target 1.2516 support next. On the upside, break of 1.3077 and sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications, and bring up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness.

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