Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3412; (P) 1.3439; (R1) 1.3472; More….
With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, a temporary low is in place at 1.3405 and intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.3563 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.3405 will resume the decline from 1.3860, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3976, to 1.3224/61 support zone. Strong support should be seen around there to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.3282) is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.
