USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9929; (P) 0.9943; (R1) 0.9943; More

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.9908 temporary low extends higher today. But it’s limited below 1.0006 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and another fall could still be seen. On the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9904 will target 0.9848 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0006 minor resistance will indicate that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0128 high.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading. However, break of 0.9848 near term support will dampen this view and bring deeper decline back to 0.9541 support and possibly below.

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