Sat, Jan 28, 2023 @ 16:44 GMT

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF recovered after dipping to 0.9478 last week but recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Overall, corrective pattern from 1.0063 is probably still extending. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9644) will target 0.9868 resistance first. Further break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9478 will extend the fall from 0.9868 towards 0.9369 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support is seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9460). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

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