USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.09; (P) 108.65; (R1) 109.00; More….

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation above 108.12 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook stays bearish as current development argues that rise from 98.97 is already completed at 118.65. Hence, we’d expect upside of recovery to limited by 110.10 minor resistance to bring another decline. Below 108.12 will target 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 98.97 low. Nonetheless, break of 110.10 will be the first sign of near term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 112.19 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet and is extending. In case of deeper decline, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

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