USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 107.36; (P) 107.73; (R1) 107.92; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 107.45 minor support will suggest completion of rebound from 104.45. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 106.68 support for confirmation. On the upside, in case of another rally, we’d expect strong resistance below 109.31 to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, decline from 118.65 (Dec 2016) is still in progress and the pair is staying well inside long term falling channel. Firm break of 104.69 will target 100% projection of 118.65 to 104.62 from 114.54 at 100.51. For now, we’d expect strong support above 98.97 (2016 low) to contain downside to bring rebound. However, firm break of 109.31 will be the first sign of medium term reversal and bring stronger rise to 112.40 resistance for confirmation.

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