Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.60; (P) 109.85; (R1) 110.08; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 109.53 support holds. Break of 110.28 resistance will resume larger rebound from 104.45 and target medium term falling channel resistance at 111.19. However, break of 109.53 minor support will turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

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In the bigger picture, there is no change in the bearish outlook yet in spite of the rebound from 104.45. The pair is staying in long term falling channel that started at 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Rise from 104.45 is seen as a correction and the down trend could still extend through 104.45 low. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will be an important sign of bullish reversal and target 114.54 resistance for confirmation.

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