Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.64; (P) 154.25; (R1) 155.44; More…
USD/JPY’s break of 154.63 minor resistance suggests that fall from 157.65 has completed at 152.25 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 157.65 resistance first. Break there will target a retest on 159.44 high. Also, with 38.2% retracement of 139.87 to 159.44 at 151.96 intact, price actions from 159.44 are seen as a consolidations pattern only. Larger rally from 139.87 is expected to resume through 159.44 at a later stage.
In the bigger picture, outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) should have completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 151.77) holds. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that the pattern from 161.94 is extending with another falling leg.
