Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/CHF – Buy at 1.0030

USD/CHF – 1.0077

Most recent candlesticks pattern : N/A

Trend                                    : Near term up

Tenkan-Sen level                  : 1.0092

Kijun-Sen level                    : 1.0085

Ichimoku cloud top                 : 1.0050

Ichimoku cloud bottom              : 1.0050

Original strategy :

Buy at 1.0030, Target: 1.0130, Stop: 0.9995

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

New strategy  :

Buy at 1.0000, Target: 1.0100, Stop: 0.9965

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

As the greenback has retreated after rising to 1.0108 today, suggesting consolidation below this level would be seen and initial downside risk is for pullback to 1.0050, then towards support at 1.0026, however, reckon 0.9995 support would contain weakness and bring another rise later, above indicated resistance at 1.0108-09 would extend recent upmove from 0.9813 towards 1.0140-45 but loss of upward momentum should prevent sharp move beyond another previous resistance at 1.0171, risk from there has increased for a retreat to take place later. 

In view of this, would not chase this rise here and would be prudent to buy dollar on subsequent pullback as support at 0.9995 should limit downside. Below 0.9970 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9831-1.0108) would abort and signal top is formed instead, bring correction to support at 0.9948.