USD/CAD – 1.3695
Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway for headway to 1.4700
Trend: Near term up
Original strategy :
Buy at 1.3655, Target: 1.3850, Stop: 1.3595
Position: –
Target: –
Stop: –
New strategy :
Buy at 1.3570, Target: 1.3770, Stop: 1.3510
Position: –
Target: –
Stop:-
As the greenback has retreated after meeting resistance at 1.3753, retaining our view that further consolidation below resistance at 1.3794 (last week’s high) would be seen and another corrective fall to 1.3642 is likely, below there would bring correction to 1.3600 but reckon downside would be limited to 1.3570 and bring another rise later, above 1.3753 would suggest the pullback from 1.3794 has ended, bring retest of this level, break there would extend recent upmove to 1.3840-50 but overbought condition should prevent sharp move beyond 1.3890-00 and price should falter below 1.3950.
In view of this, would not chase this rise here and would be prudent to buy again on pullback as 1.3570 should limit downside and bring another rise later. Below 1.3530 would abort and suggest a temporary top is formed, bring retracement of recent upmove to 1.3500 and later towards 1.3450-60 but support at 1.3411 should remain intact, bring another upmove later.
To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.
