Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2527; (P) 1.2560; (R1) 1.2596; More….
A temporary low is in place at 1.2525 in USD/CAD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper fall is expected as long as 1.2690 minor resistance holds. Below 1.2525 will target 1.2412 first. Break there will resume the larger decline and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.2048. On the upside, above 1.2690 will extend the correction from 1.2412 with another rise. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 to bring fall resumption eventually.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Such corrective fall is still expected to extend to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.
