USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.42; (P) 113.72; (R1) 114.20; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 114.09 indicates resumption of recent rally from 107.31. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 114.49 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm that correction pattern from 118.65 has completed at 107.31 already. And USD/JPY should then target a test on 118.65. On the downside, below 113.23 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 111.64 support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is not completed yet. It should resume after corrective fall from 118.65 completed. Break of 114.49 resistance will likely resume the rise to 61.8% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 107.31 at 119.47 first. Firm break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 126.99. This will be the key level to decide whether long term up trend is resuming.

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