Trade Idea: USD/CAD – Hold short entered at 1.3400

USD/CAD – 1.3371

 
Recent wave: Only wave v of c has ended at 0.9407 and wave C of major A-B-C correction is underway for headway to 1.4700

Trend:  Near term up

 
Original strategy       :

Sold at 1.3400, Target: 1.3240, Stop: 1.3460

Position: – Short at 1.3400

Target:  – 1.3240

Stop: – 1.3460

 
New strategy             :

Hold short entered at 1.3400, Target: 1.3240, Stop: 1.3435

Position: – Short at 1.3400

Target:  – 1.3240

Stop:- 1.3460

Although the greenback rebounded after falling briefly to 1.3264 and consolidation above this level would be seen, reckon upside would be limited and as long as 1.3430 holds, mild downside bias remains for another fall to said support, break there would add credence to our view that top has been made at 1.3535, bring further fall to 1.3235-40 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3056-1.3535) but previous resistance at 1.3210 would hold due to loss of downward momentum.

In view of this, we are holding on to our short position entered at 1.3400. Above previous support at 1.3421 (now resistance) would suggest low is formed instead, bring a stronger rebound to 1.3450 and possibly test of resistance at 1.3479, however, only break of 1.3495 resistance would indicate the pullback from 1.3535 has ended and bring retest of this level later.

To recap, wave B from 1.3066 is unfolding as an a-b-c and is sub-divided as a: 1.2192, b: 1.2716 and wave c is a 5-waver with i: 1.1983, ii: 1.2506, extended wave iii with minor iii at 1.0206, wave iv ended at 1.0781 and wave v as well as wave iii has ended at 0.9931, hence the subsequent choppy trading is the wave iv which is unfolding as (a)-(b)-(c) with (a) leg of iv ended at 1.0854, followed by (b) leg at 1.0108 and (c) leg as well as the wave iv ended at 1.0674. The wave v is sub-divided by minor wave (i): 0.9980, (ii): 1.0374, (iii): 0.9446, (iv): 0.9913 and (v) as well as v has possibly ended at 0.9407, therefore, consolidation with upside bias is seen for major correction, indicated target at 1.3700 and 1.4000 had been met and further gain to 1.4700 would be seen later.