In July, industrial production grew merely 4.8% yoy, down from 6.3% yoy and missed expectation of 6.0% yoy. It’s also the slowest growth rate in more than 17 years. Retail sales grew 7.6% yoy, down from 9.8% yoy and missed expectation of 8.6% yoy. Fixed assets investment ex rural grew 5.7% yoy, down from 5.8% yoy and missed expectation of 5.9% yoy. Surveyed unemployment rate rose from 5.1% to 5.3%.
The National Bureau of Statistics of China insisted in a statement that the national economy performed “within the reasonable range” and “sustained generally stable growth while making further progress.” NBS spokesmen Liu Aihua also said the impact of the Sino-U.S. trade war on China’s economy is controllable
USD/CNH dropped sharply yesterday as Yuan rebounded on news of delay in some US tariffs. But the Yuan quickly lost momentum on today’s big data misses. A short term top was formed after USD/CNH hit 61.8% projection of 6.235e to 6.9800 from 6.6699 at 7.1301, As long as 6.9620 resistance turned support holds, we’d expect recent uptrend to resume sooner or later. Break of 7.1394 will target 100% projection at 0.7414.
