Sat, Feb 07, 2026 09:38 GMT
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    HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisGBP/USD Wave-4 Retracement In 38.2-50% Fibonacci Zone

    GBP/USD Wave-4 Retracement In 38.2-50% Fibonacci Zone

    Currency pair GBP/USD

    The GBP/USD is building a larger bullish retracement within a downtrend. The Fibonacci levels of wave 4 (blue) are potential resistance zones for a bearish turn.

    The GBP/USD could expand the correction within wave 4 (blue) via a WXY (orange) unless price breaks below the support (blue/green) which could trigger a continuation of the downtrend. The 38.2%-50% Fibonacci area is the most likely bouncing spot for a wave 4.

    Currency pair EUR/USD

    The EUR/USD has bounced at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of wave 2 (purple) but could retrace to a deeper Fib level such as the 78.6% before building a bearish turn. A break above the 100% level invalidates the wave 1-2 structure.

    The EUR/USD bullish momentum could be part of a wave 3 (pink). In that case price is now at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of wave 4 (pink). A break below the support (green) and Fibs would invalidate that wave 4 and could lead to a larger bearish move.

    Currency pair USD/JPY

    The USD/JPY seems to have completed a wave 4 (purple) at a shallow Fibonacci level from the daily-weekly charts, which makes a larger uptrend more likely. The uptrend stays intact if price manages to stay above the bottom of wave 2 (blue).

    The USD/JPY could be building a wave 1-2 (orange) but a break below the 100% Fibonacci level invalidates wave 2 (orange).

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