Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2645; (P) 1.2677; (R1) 1.2709; More…
GBP/USD’s sharp decline argues that rebound from 1.2538 has completed at 1.2708 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.2517 key support. Sustained break there will turn near term outlook bearish. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.2708 resistance holds, in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Rise from 1.2036 is seen as the second leg, which might still be in progress. But upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, break of 1.2517 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 again.
