Alan Taylor reinforced his dovish stance in remarks at a Deutsche Bank event in London today, arguing that inflation risks are shifting away from stickiness and toward undershooting the 2% target. He suggested weakening demand and softening labor market now pose greater downside risks to price pressures than previously feared.
While acknowledging that services CPI remains “slightly concerning” at around 4.4%, Taylor described the persistence as a temporary lag rather than a structural issue. He said the broader disinflation trend remains intact, even if services inflation has not cooled as quickly as hoped.
Pointing to what he called a “pessimistic outlook” for the UK job market, Taylor argued that policy remains too restrictive and justified a faster pace of easing. He sees scope for two to three additional rate cuts before the Bank Rate approaches a theoretical neutral level.
