AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7382; (P) 0.7414; (R1) 0.7445; More…

AUD/USD’s corrective recovery from 0.7328 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. As noted before, we’d expect upside to be limited below 0.7555 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 0.7382 will target 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from 0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7359; (P) 0.7390; (R1) 0.7416; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as the consolidation from 0.7382 continues. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7555 resistance to bring another fall. Below 0.7382 will target 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from 0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD dropped further to 0.7328 last week but formed a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidation above 0.7328 first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7555 resistance to bring another fall. Below 0.7382 will target 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7347; (P) 0.7365; (R1) 0.7396; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 0.7328. Some consolidations would be seen. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7555 resistance and bring another fall. Break of 0.7382 will extend the decline from 0.7748 to retest 0.7144/7158 support. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there as there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7336; (P) 0.7365; (R1) 0.7393; More…

With 0.7425 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside. Current fall from 0.7748 is expected to target a test on 0.7144/7158 support zone. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there as there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. On the upside, above 0.7425 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7315; (P) 0.7357; (R1) 0.7384; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 0.7748 is expected to target a test on 0.7144/7158 support zone. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there as there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. On the upside, above 0.7425 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7366; (P) 0.7395; (R1) 0.7413; More…

AUD/USD’s fall resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as low as 0.7334 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current decline from 0.7748 should target 0.7144/7158 support zone. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there as there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. On the upside, above 0.7425 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7378; (P) 0.7402; (R1) 0.7437; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.7366 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7555 resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.7366 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7144/7158 support zone. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there. On the upside, break of 0.7555 resistance will argue that fall from 0.7748 has completed and will turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7748 last accelerated to as low as 0.7366 last week. Bearish outlook is unchanged and further fall is expected to 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in AUD/USD is neutral this week for consolidation above 0.7366 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7555 resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.7366 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7144/7158 support zone. We’ll be cautious on bottoming there. On the upside, break of 0.7555 resistance will argue that fall from 0.7748 has completed and will turn bias back to the upside.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7384; (P) 0.7407; (R1) 0.7432; More…

AUD/USD’s fall is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 0.7748 should target 0.7144/7158 support zone. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support from 0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7439 support turned resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation first. But upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7555 and bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8118) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7379; (P) 0.7462; (R1) 0.7506; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7158 resumed by taking out 0.7439 and reaches as low as 0.7404 so far. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for deeper decline. As noted before, rise from 0.7158 has completed at 0.7748 already. Further fall should be seen back to 0.7144/7158 support zone. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support from 0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. But, break of 0.7555 resistance is now needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8118) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7479; (P) 0.7509; (R1) 0.7555; More…

AUD/USD is staying in range of 0.7439/7609 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. We’re favoring the case that rise from 0.7158 has completed at 0.7748 already. And deeper decline is expected. Break of 0.7439 will turn bias to the downside and target a test on 0.7144/7158 support zone. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from 0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7609 will argue that the fall from 0.7748 has completed. In such case, bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.7748 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8118) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7479; (P) 0.7509; (R1) 0.7555; More…

AUD/USD’s rebound form 0.7439 extends higher today. But it’s limited below 0.7609 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral. At this point, we’re favoring the case that rise from 0.7158 has completed at 0.7748 already. And deeper decline is expected. Break of 0.7439 will turn bias to the downside and target a test on 0.7144/7158 support zone. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7609 will argue that the fall from 0.7748 has completed. In such case, bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.7748 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8118) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7459; (P) 0.7475; (R1) 0.7501; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.7439 temporary low. Upside of recovery should b limited by 0.7609 resistance and bring another fall. Rise from 0.7158 should have completed at 0.7748 already. Below 0.7439 will target a test on 0.7144/7158 support zone. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7609 will argue that the fall from 0.7748 has completed. In such case, bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.7748 resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8118) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD weakened last week and took out 0.7472 support. The development revived that case that rise from 0.71580 has completed at 0.7748. Therefore, deeper fall is now expected back to 0.7144/7158 support zone.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in AUD/USD is neutral this week for consolidation above 0.7439 temporary low. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7609 resistance holds. Below 0.7439 will target 0.7144/7158 support zone. At this point, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7609 will argue that the fall from 0.7748 has completed. In such case, bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.7748 resistance.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, while the down trend from 1.1079 might extend lower, we’re not anticipating a break of 0.6008 (2008 low) yet. We’ll look for bottoming above there to reverse the medium term trend.

AUD/USD Monthly Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7440; (P) 0.7466; (R1) 0.7492; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current development suggests that rise from 0.7150 is completed at 0.7748. Deeper decline is expected to test 0.7144/58 key near term support zone. On the upside, break of 0.7609 resistance is now needed to indicate completion of the fall from 0.7748. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7435; (P) 0.7493; (R1) 0.7532; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7472 support revives that case that whole rise from 0.7150 is completed at 0.7748. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Deeper fall is now anticipated back to test 0.7144/58 key near term support zone. On the upside, break of 0.7609 resistance is now needed to indicate completion of the fall from 0.7748. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7512; (P) 0.7542; (R1) 0.7564; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral first. On the downside, below 0.7490 minor support will likely send the pair through 0.7472 near term support. In that case, whole rise from 0.7150 should be completed at 0.7748. Outlook will then be turned bearish for retesting 0.7144/58 support zone. On the upside, above 0.7609 resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7748 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7543; (P) 0.7563; (R1) 0.7589; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is mildly on the upside for 0.7609 resistance. Break will indicate resumption of rise from 0.7472 and target 0.7748 high. That will also argue that whole rally from 0.7158 is resuming and put 0.7849 key resistance fibonacci level in focus. On the downside, below 0.7490 will now likely send AUD/USD through 0.7472 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7524; (P) 0.7535; (R1) 0.7553; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned back to the upside with breaking of 0.7562 minor resistance. Break of 0.7609 resistance will indicate resumption of rise from 0.7472 and target 0.7748 high. That will also argue that whole rally from 0.7158 is resuming and put 0.7849 key resistance fibonacci level in focus. On the downside, below 0.71490 will now likely send AUD/USD through 0.7472 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8144) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart