Fri, Jul 03, 2020 @ 15:45 GMT
Strong risk appetite boosted US markets to new record highs overnight. DJIA jumped 303.31 pts, or 1.46%, to close at 21115.55. S&P 500 rose 32.32 pts, or 1.37%, to close to 2395.96. NASDAQ also gained 78.59 pts, or 1.35%, to end at 5904.03. All three indices closed at records. Positive sentiments also pulled treasury yields higher with 10 year yield rose 0.105 to close at 2.463 and revived underlying bullishness. Dollar was boosted by increased speculation of March Fed hike as the Dollar index hitting at high at 101.97. The break of 101.76 in the dollar index confirmed resumption of recent rebound from 99.23. However, development in the currency markets doesn't warrant decisive momentum in the greenback yet. EUR/USD is held above 1.0493 support, AUD/USD above 0.7605 support. USD/CHF is limited below 1.0140 resistance and USD/JPY is held below 114.94 resistance. The strength in the greenback is more apparent in GBP/USD and USD/CAD only. More evidence is needed to confirm bullishness in the greenback.
Canadian Dollar jumps sharply in early US session after stronger than expected GDP data. At least, the three month-rolling average remained in expansion despite the contraction in December and November. Additionally, WTI crude oil surged through recent resistance to...
Economic data released from the US are mixed today. ADP report shows much stronger than expected growth in private sector jobs. However, ISM manufacturing points to deep cool down in the manufacturing sector, with deteriorating new orders, prices and...
Dollar is under some pressure in early US session after disappointing job data. On the other hand, Euro surged broadly as market perceived the ECB monetary policy account as a hawkish one. US ADP employment report showed 158k growth in private sector jobs in June, below expectation of 180k. Prior month's figure was revised down to 230k, from 253k. Initial jobless claims rose 4k to 248k in the week ended July 1, versus consensus of 243k. The number, nonetheless, remain historically low and stayed below 300k handle for the 122 straight weeks. Continuing claims rose 11k to 1.96m in the week ended June 24, staying below 2m for 12 straight weeks. Also released in early US session, US trade deficit narrowed to USD -46.5b in May. Canada trade deficit widened to CAD -1.1b in May. Canada building permits rose 8.9% mom in May.
Yen surges broadly while Australian Dollar is pressured as Asian markets start the new year with deep selloff. Hong Kong HSI is quickly down over -2.3% in initial trading. China Shanghai SSE is down -1.0% and Singapore Strait Times...
Asian markets are rather quiet finally as the weekend is coming. Currencies are digesting this week's sharp moves for now, with mild recovery seen in commodity currencies and Sterling. Dollar and Yen turn slightly softer. But for the week,...
US treasury yields rally continues with 10 year yield hitting as high as 3.109 in Asian session. But the lift to Dollar is rather non-existence this time. The greenback is trading generally lower against others today and is mixed...
It seems that the impacts of poor economic data and Fed's dovish turn on the markets are "roughly balanced" for now. Stocks in the US and Asia turned mixed and stayed mixed since yesterday. Poor Chinese manufacturing data gives...
Dollar trades broadly lower today, except versus Yen as it's recovery quickly lost steam. Comments from Fed officials are mixed while markets are awaiting Fed chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole symposium at 1400GMT. Durable goods orders report...
Global stock markets are generally higher today, continuing to ride on trade optimism. White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett added to the positive mood and said US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer has made a lot of progress with China....
EUR/USD finally breaks 1.2285 support with some momentum in early US session. That could be seen as a sign that the forex traders are finally back from holiday, and starting to commit on a position. Events earlier today were...
The currency markets are relatively quiet today, with major pairs bounded inside yesterday's range. Dollar weakens after poor durable goods orders data, but New Zealand Dollar is even weaker. Euro recovers after yesterday's selloff, followed by Canadian Dollar ans...
Outlook in the forex markets remain basically unchanged. Dollar is trading as the strongest major currency for the week. However, it remains bounded in recent range against others. Current rebound is viewed as a corrective move and there is no change in the bearish down trend yet. Yen and Sterling are following as the second and third strongest. Meanwhile, commodity currencies are trading broadly lower. In particular, Canadian Dollar is broadly pressured after yesterday's weak retail sales data. The loonie will turn to CPI release today for more guidance.
Yen and Dollar trades mildly firmer today as markets turn cautious ahead of Trump-Kim summit. But the biggest risks could lie on US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer's testimony at the House Ways and  Means Committee. After Trump postponed trade...
Australian dollar's hit a four month high overnight but lost momentum after strong housing data and RBA minutes. RBA highlighted in the meeting minutes the risks from the heat-up housing markets. It noted that "data continued to suggest that there had been a build-up of risks associated with the housing market." And, "growth in household debt had been faster than that in household income."
Risk sentiments continued to recover last week as Fed officials indicated they would be patient before making the next rate move. Positive developments of US-China trade talks also helped. One notable development was the rebound in US treasury yields...
The financial markets didn't start the second quarter with a bang even though coronavirus pandemic carried on. Globally, confirmed cases surged through 1.1m level but that's now more of an indication of the speed of tests. Death toll, on...
Markets sentiments were given a strong boost as the US appears to be breaking the tax reform deadlock. DOW closed up 196.14 points or 0.90%. S&P 500 also rose 24.14 points or 0.00% to close at 2452.51. 10 year yield gained 0.035 to close at 2.215, back above 2.2 handle. The development also gave the greenback a mild lift but there dollar index is held well below key near term resistance at 94.28. In the currency markets, EUR/USD is considered as staying in consolidation from 1.1908 and near term up trend is expected to resume sooner or later. USD/JPY is staying below 110.94 and recent fall from 114.49 is expected to extend too. There is no clear evidence for a trend reversal in Dollar yet.
Trade war comes back to headline as US President Donald Trump announced his intention to triple down on the tariffs on Chinese imports. But so far, market reactions are muted. Major forex pairs are trapped in yesterday's range, just...
European majors are generally the strong ones this week so far. While Euro and Sterling lost some intraday momentum after yesterday's rally, they're both remain firm as supported by solid economic data. ON the other hand, While data from US are not too back, the greenback is being pressured by the political drama in the White House. Aussie is leading commodity currencies down as RBA warned of its recent appreciates in the rate decision statement.
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