Sun, Feb 23, 2020 @ 15:51 GMT
Dollar weakens against Euro, Aussie and Canadian in early US session despite solid non-farm payroll report. The selloff is, at this point, seen as a sell-on-news move. Canadian dollar is supported by its own job data. The set of NFP should have done nothing to alter Fed's decision to hike interest rate next week. Nonetheless, without a surge in wage growth, the report doesn't add to the case for more than three hikes this year. Focus will turn to next week's FOMC meeting, with new economic projections.
The forex markets are generally stuck in very tight range today, as markets await Fed's rate cut. Dollar is the stronger one as followed by Canadian and Yen. Australian Dollar is the weakest one so far. Sterling follows as...
Dollar weakens in early US session after mixed economic data. Headline durable goods orders dropped -1.2% in October, much lower than expectation of 0.3% rise. Ex-transport orders rose 0.4%, in line with consensus. Initial jobless claims dropped -13k to 239k in the week ended November 18, slightly better than expectation of 241k. Four week moving average rose 1.25k to 239.75. Continuing claims rose 36k to 1.9m in the week ended November 11. The greenback is so far trading as the weakest major currency today as markets await FOMC minutes. Nonetheless, there is little chance for the minutes to give Dollar a lift. They will most likely just reaffirm the chance for a December Fed hike.
Market sentiments are generally calm in Asia, which follow US equities higher. Investors were assured by Fed officials that interest rate is going to stay low at current level for a while. Commodity currencies are recovering today, with Aussie...
Investors turned generally cautious again after Bloomberg came back with another report that US is on ways to further scrutinize index providers' decision to add Chinese firms that could be material risks for investors. The administration believed that Americans...
Canadian dollar are lifted by solid job data and strength in oil prices today. The Canadian job market expanded by 48.3k in January, much better than expectation of 0.0k. Unemployment rate also dropped 0.1% to 6.8%. Meanwhile WTI crude oil is gaining 1.7% at the time of writing and is pressing 54 handle. It's possible that WTI is heading to retest recent resistance at 55.24 based on current momentum. On the other hand, the greenback is also strong, except versus Aussie and Loonie. Trump trades as back in force and Donald Trump said he will deliver a "phenomenal" tax overhaul within two or three weeks. From US, import price index rose 0.4% in January.
Euro drops broadly today as pressured by renewed selling following weaker than expected German inflation data. That's more than enough o offset improved unemployment rate. For now, though, Swiss Franc is the weakest one, followed by New Zealand Dollar....
Risk aversion dominates the Asian markets today on concerns of coronavirus outbreak in China. Hong Kong HSI leads the way down, additionally pressured by Moody's downgrade. In the currency markets, commodity currencies are broadly lower, with Australian Dollar suffering...
Euro weakens broadly today, in relatively quiet markets, as traders are probably adjusting their positions ahead of tomorrow's ECB rate decision. A new package of stimulus is widely expected. Yet, opinions on the exact composition of the package is...
Dollar's rebound gathers some momentum today as dollar index regained 100 handle and hit as high as 100.72 so far. Hawkish comments from Philadelphia Fed president Patrick Harker is seen as a factor supporting the greenback. Meanwhile, weakness in European majors is providing further lift. Technically, GBP/USD leads the way with break of 1.2411 minor support, which is seen as sign of near term reversal. USD/CAD also took out 1.3168 minor resistance which indicates near term bottoming. The near term focus will now turn to 1.0619 in EUR/USD, 1.0043 in USD/CHF and 113.44 in USD/JPY. In other markets, gold retreats mildly after hitting 1237.5 and is back at around 1230 at the time of writing. But there is no clear sign of topping yet and that mildly dampens the case for reversal in Dollar. WTI crude oil is staying in recent range between 50/55.
The financial markets have mixed, or probably just little reaction, to the outcome of the G20 meeting in Germany over the weekend. Markets in Australia, South Korea traded mildly lower. Meanwhile, stocks in Hong Kong jumped. Japan is on holiday today. In the currency markets, Sterling is paring back some of last week's gain while Dollar stays generally weak. On the other hand, commodity currencies are trading broadly higher as led by Kiwi and Aussie. In other markets, Gold breaches last week's high and is extending rebound to as high as 1235 so far. WTI crude oil dips back to 48.3 as last week's recovery failed below 50. While RBNZ will meet this week, the main focus will turn back to economic data in most countries.
The financial markets seem to have stabilized from coronavirus fears. Following the strong rebound in US stocks overnight, Asian indices are also trading generally higher. Yen and Swiss Franc continue to trade as two of the weakest for the...
Dollar recovers broadly today as the markets are calmed down from the concerns over US-North Korea tensions. Meanwhile, Yen and Swiss Franc also soften mildly as a result. There was no further drastic development regarding the tension during the weekend. Chinese President Xi Jinping had a telephone call with US President Donald Trump on Saturday and urged a peaceful resolution to the issue, and all sides to avoid words or actions that escalate the tensions. Focus will temporary turn back to minutes of Fed, RBA and ECB, as well as a large number of global economic data. But markets will also keep one eye on the US-North Korea development.
The financial markets responded positively to news that US and China are back on the table for trade negotiation. At least for now, the fear of further escalation in tension is eased. DOW ended yesterday up 669.40 pts or...
Australian dollar was given a brief boost by retail sales data in Asian session but quickly reversed. It's trading as the biggest loser so far for the day and the week. Retail sales rose 1.0% mom in April, above expectation of 0.3% mom. However, markets seem to be more sensitive to private capital expenditure, which rose a mere 0.3% in Q1, even worse than expectation of 0.5%. Meanwhile, China's private Caixin PMI manufacturing tumbled to 49.6 in May, down from 50.3 and missed expectation of 50.2. That's the first contraction reading in 11 months. Comparing with the official PMI, the Caixin one focuses more on SMEs and indicates that these companies could be under some pressure in May which might drag down the economy ahead.
Global stock markets are boosted by optimism over US-China trade negotiation. And commodity currencies ride on positive sentiment to strengthen broadly today. On the other hand, Yen is clearly under broad based pressure as risk aversion receded. It's followed...
Commodity currencies are the strongest performers today as lifted by firm risk appetite. European indices are trading in black while US futures point to higher open. Sterling is staging a relief recovery after solid job data. Euro, on the other hand, trades softer on report that ECB President Mario Draghi will not sign policy changes in the upcoming Jackson Hole conference. Yen and Swiss are also weak in risk seeking markets. Nonetheless, the greenback remains the strongest one for the week as markets await FOMC minutes.
Dollar traded broadly lower while stocks struggled in tight range as markets are dissatisfied with the lack of clarity on economic policies at president-elect Donald Trump's first post election press conference. DJIA gained 98.75 pts, or 0.50%, to close at 19954.28, still lacks buying to push through 20000 handle. S&P 500 rose 6.42 pts, or 0.28%, to close at 2275.32, kept below recent high at 2282.10. Dollar index had a volatile day yesterday, jumping to as high as 102.95 but then reversed and dipped to as low as 101.28, now back at 101.50. Gold rode on Dollar weakness and extended recent rebound, set to take on 1200 handle today. WTI crude oil also rebounded and is trading above 52 for the moment. In the currency markets, Yen is clearly strengthening on falling yield but is overwhelmed by the strength in Aussie. Sterling and Dollar remain the two weakest major currency for the week.
Sterling soars today on news that EU and UK has finally agreed on the Brexit transition deal. The pound is now set to take on 1.4144 resistance against dollar and 0.8686 against Euro. While notable weakness is seen in...
Dollar trades mildly higher this week even though momentum is relatively week. US equities extended the record runs, with DOW, S&P 500 and NASDAQ closing at new records overnight. Treasury yields also recovered mildly. But there is little support to the greenback yet. The forex markets are generally mixed in consolidative mode, except that some extra weakness is seen in Euro, due to political jitters. Meanwhile, Australia Dollar is trading a touch softer after RBA minutes. Sterling, on the other hand, is firm as markets await inflation data from UK.
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