ECB Governing council member Robert Holzmann said he would like to have 50bps rates hikes in all of the March, May, June and July meetings.
“I expect it to take a very long time for inflation to come down,” the Austrian central bank Governor told Handelsblatt. “My hope is that within the next 12 months we will have reached the peak of interest rates.”
“If we want to get inflation back to two percent in the foreseeable future, we have to be restrictive,” Holzmann said, arguing that only a 4% deposit rate will start restricting growth.


















Japan’s Wage Growth Disappoints in January, Real Earnings Fall the Most Since 2014
Japan’s nominal labor cash earnings rose by 0.8% yoy in January, below expectations of 1.9% yoy. The strong growth rate of 4.1% yoy in December was an anomaly due to lump-sum payments, rather than regular wage rises. The level of wage growth is far below the required level needed to maintain a 2% inflation rate, as indicated by outgoing BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.
Moreover, real cash earnings of workers have declined by -4.1% yoy, indicating that their real wages have fallen the most since 2014. The continuous decline in real wages for ten consecutive months shows that inflation has surpassed earnings.
Later in the week, BoJ is expected to keep its ultra-loose monetary policy unchanged, including the negative short-term interest rate of -0.10% and the 10-year yield cap at 0.50% at Kuroda’s final meeting before handing over the reins to Kazuo Ueda. The declining real wages poses a challenge for the incoming governor to achieve the inflation target set by the central bank.