In the highly anticipated Jackson Hole speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that the three weeks since July FOMC meeting “have been eventful”. There were new tariffs on Chinese imports, further evidence in global slowdown notably in Germany and China. Also, there were geopolitical events including “growing possibility of a hard Brexit, rising tensions in Hong Kong, and the dissolution of the Italian government.”
Though, US economy has “continued to perform well overall, driven by consumer spending”. Job creation slowed but is “still above overall labor force growth”. Inflation seems to be “moving up closer to 2%. Powell pledged, “based on our assessment of the implications of these developments, we will act as appropriate.
Dollar dips mildly after the release but overall, downside is limited for the moment.









DOW drops sharply after Trump’s strong response to China retaliation tariffs
US President Donald Trump responded to China’s retaliation tariffs serious of strongly worded tweets. He said “we don’t need China and, frankly, would be far better off without them.” And, “our great American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start looking for an alternative to China”.
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DOW drops sharply in response to Trump’s tweet and is currently down -440 pts. The rejection by 55 day EMA again keeps near term outlook bearish. Focus should be back on 25440.39 support next week. Break will resume the fall from 27398.68 to 24680.57.