AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7064; (P) 0.7137; (R1) 0.7173; More…

AUD/USD drops notably today but recovers after breaching 0.7100 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.7209 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.7005. That will also indication of completion of correction from 0.7413. In this case, further rally would be seen to retest 0.7413 high. On the downside, however, break of firm break of 0.7100 will suggest that correction from 0.7413 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.7005, and then 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6908) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise from 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7163; (P) 0.7178; (R1) 0.7197; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neural for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.7209 and sustained trading above 0.7192 should confirm completion of the pull back from 0.7413. Further rise should be seen back to retest 0.7413 high. On the downside, below 0.7100 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7005 support. Break of 0.7005 will resume the correction from 0.7413 to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6908) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise from 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7134; (P) 0.7161; (R1) 0.7191; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.7209 and sustained trading above 0.7192 should confirm completion of the pull back from 0.7413. Further rise should be seen back to retest 0.7413 high. On the downside, break of 0.7005 will resume the correction to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6896) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise from 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD recovered to 0.7209 last week but failed to sustain above 0.7192 support turned resistance. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.7209 and sustained trading above 0.7192 should confirm completion of the pull back from 0.7413. Further rise should be seen back to retest 0.7413 high. On the downside, break of 0.7005 will resume the correction to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6896) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise from 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

In the longer term picture, bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD is a condition for long term bullish reversal. Yet, AUD/USD struggled to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 0.7309). It’s also limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635. Hence, there is not enough evidence for reversal yet. Down trend from 1.1079 could still extend through 0.5506 at a later stage.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7156; (P) 0.7183; (R1) 0.7210; More…

Focus stays on 0.7192 support turned resistance in AUD/USD. Sustained break there will indicate completion of the pull back from 0.7413. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high. On the downside, break of 0.7005 will resume the fall from 0.7413, which is a correction to rise from 0.5506, to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6896) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise form 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7118; (P) 0.7146; (R1) 0.7193; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral with focus on 0.7192 support turned resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of the pull back from 0.7413. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high. On the downside, , break of 0.7005 will resume the fall from 0.7413, which is a correction to rise from 0.5506, to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6896) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise form 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7088; (P) 0.7113; (R1) 0.7156; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.7005 is extending. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7192 support turned resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.7005 will resume the fall from 0.7413, which is a correction to rise from 0.5506, to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685. However, sustained break of 0.7192 will indicate completed of the pull back and turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7413.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6896) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise form 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7043; (P) 0.7058; (R1) 0.7088; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.7005 temporary low. Upside of recovery e should be limited below 0.7192 support turned resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.7005 will resume the fall from 0.7413, which is a correction to rise form 0.5506, to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6883) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise form 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6996; (P) 0.7041; (R1) 0.7077; More…

A temporary low is formed at 0.7005 with today’s recovery. Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Upside should be limited below 0.7192 support turned resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.7005 will resume the fall from 0.7413, which is a correction to rise form 0.5506, to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6883) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise form 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7413 resumed last week and accelerated to as low as 0.7005. Such decline is seen as correcting whole rise form 0.5506. Initial bias is now on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685. On the upside, break of 0.7086 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6883) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise form 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

In the longer term picture, bullish convergence condition in monthly MACD is a condition for long term bullish reversal. Yet, AUD/USD struggled to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 0.7309). It’s also limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635. Hence, there is not enough evidence for reversal yet. Down trend from 1.1079 could still extend through 0.5506 at a later stage.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7035; (P) 0.7107; (R1) 0.7144; More…

A temporary low is formed at 0.7016 with today’s recovery. Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral first. But further decline is expected as long as 0.7192 support turned resistance holds. Fall from 0.7413 is seen as correcting whole rise from 0.5506. Break of 0.7016 will target 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). There is no confirmation that it’s completed. Another rise could still be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 before topping. However, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6888) will raise the chance that it’s finished and turn focus back to 0.5506 low.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7035; (P) 0.7107; (R1) 0.7144; More…

AUD/USD’s decline accelerates to as low as 0.7038 today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall is seen as correcting whole rise from 0.5506 to 0.7413. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685. On the upside, break of 0.7192 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall. Otherwise, near term outlook will now stay bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). There is no confirmation that it’s completed. Another rise could still be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 before topping. However, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6888) will raise the chance that it’s finished and turn focus back to 0.5506 low.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7138; (P) 0.7186; (R1) 0.7218; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7135 support now suggests that it’s correcting the whole rise from 0.5506. Intraday bias is back on the downside as fall from 0.7413 would target o 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685. On the upside, break of 0.7234 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.7413 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7174; (P) 0.7249; (R1) 0.7299; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral with focus on 0.7135 support. Decisive break there will suggest that it’s already correcting the whole rise from 0.5506. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685. Nevertheless, as long as 0.7135 holds, another rise is still in favor through 0.7413 before topping.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7271; (P) 0.7302; (R1) 0.7322; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and more sideway consolidation could be seen. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will resume the rally from 0.5506 and target 0.7635 long term fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.7135 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD stayed in range below 0.7413 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. on the upside, break of 0.7413 will resume the rally from 0.5506 and target 0.7635 long term fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.7135 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rebound from 0.5506 is strong and steep. Bullish convergence condition is seen in monthly MACD. 55 month EMA is also violated. The case of long term reversal is building up. Focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635. Decisive break there will confirm bullish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.8950. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.7635 will retain bearishness.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7271; (P) 0.7293; (R1) 0.7332; More…

Sideway consolidation in AUD/USD continues and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 0.7135 support holds, further rise remains in favor. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will resume the rally from 0.5506 and target 0.7635 long term fibonacci level next. However, on the downside, decisive break of 0.7135 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7274; (P) 0.7310; (R1) 0.7340; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Further rise remains in favor with 0.7135 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will resume the rally from 0.5506 and target 0.7635 long term fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.7135 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7265; (P) 0.7304; (R1) 0.7341; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Further rise remains in favor with 0.7135 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will resume the rally from 0.5506 and target 0.7635 long term fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.7135 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7255; (P) 0.7280; (R1) 0.7308; More…

AUD/USD recovers further today but stays inside range below 0.7413. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rise remains in favor with 0.7135 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will resume the rally from 0.5506 and target 0.7635 long term fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.7135 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.