AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD?USD’s fall from 0.7031 extended to as low as 0.6817 last week. As noted before, corrective rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.6754 support. Break will confirm this bearish case and target a retest of 0.6670 low. On the upside, above 0.6878 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.6933 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Next downside target is 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6826; (P) 0.6852; (R1) 0.6875; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidations above 0.6826 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.6933 resistance to bring fall resumption. We maintain the view that corrective rise from 0.6670 has completed at 0.7031. Below 0.6826 will turn bias to the downside for 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6933 will turn focus back to 0.7031 instead.

\\In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6829; (P) 0.6842; (R1) 0.6858; More…

A temporary low is formed at 0.6829 as AUD/USD recovered after drawing support from near term channel. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.6933 resistance to bring fall resumption. We maintain the view that corrective rise from 0.6670 has completed at 0.7031. Below 0.6826 will turn bias to the downside for 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6933 will turn focus back to 0.7031 instead.

\\In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6832; (P) 0.6856; (R1) 0.6870; More…

Firm break of 0.6849 support suggests resumption of fall from 0.7031. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.6754 support. Decisive break there will confirm that corrective rebound form 0.6670 has completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Deeper fall should then be seen to retest 0.6670. On the upside, break of 0.6933 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the current fall. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6857; (P) 0.6873; (R1) 0.6891; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral first, with focus on 0.6849 support. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Break of 0.6849 will turn bias to the downside for 0.6754 support. Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case. On the upside, however, break of 0.6933 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6858; (P) 0.6885; (R1) 0.6898; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Break of 0.6849 will turn bias to the downside for 0.6754 support. Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case. On the upside, however, break of 0.6933 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD recovered to 0.6933 last week but quickly reversed. As it’s staying in consolidation above 0.6849, initial bias remains neutral this week first. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Break of 0.6849 will turn bias to the downside for 0.6754 support. Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case. On the upside, however, break of 0.6933 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7484).

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Next downside target is 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6879; (P) 0.6906; (R1) 0.6925; More…

AUD/USD recovered to 0.6933 but failed to sustain above 0.6930 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is still expected. As noted before, rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. On the downside, break of 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, firm break of 0.6930 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7487).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6883; (P) 0.6900; (R1) 0.6923; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation form 0.6849 temporary is in progress. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. On the downside, break of 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6930 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7487).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6889; (P) 0.6900; (R1) 0.6914; More…

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation from 0.6849 temporary low, and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. On the downside, break of 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6930 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7487).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6891; (P) 0.6906; (R1) 0.6917; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.6849 temporary low. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. On the downside, break of 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6930 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7487).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6864; (P) 0.6887; (R1) 0.6924; More…

AUD/USD’s recovery from 0.6849 extends higher today but stays below 0.6930 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral and another decline is still expected. Corrective rebound from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Below 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6930 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7487).

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD dropped sharply to 0.6849 last week before forming a temporary low and recovered. Current development suggests that corrective rebound from 0.6670 has completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Further decline is mildly in favor as long as 0.6930 minor resistance holds. Break of 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this bearish case. However, break of 0.6930 will turn focus back to 0.7031 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7487).

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Next downside target is 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6845; (P) 0.6863; (R1) 0.6876; More… .

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.6849 temporary low. Further fall is expected as long as 0.6930 minor resistance holds. As noted before, corrective rise from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Below 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this case. On the upside, above 0.6930 minor resistance will dampen this case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7031 resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6849; (P) 0.6867; (R1) 0.6885; More… .

A temporary low is in place at 0.6849 in AUD/USD with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Further fall is expected as long as 0.6930 minor resistance holds. As noted before, corrective rise from 0.6670 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Below 0.6849 will target 0.6754 support to confirm this case. On the upside, above 0.6930 minor resistance will dampen this case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7031 resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6838; (P) 0.6890; (R1) 0.6922; More… .

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current development argues that corrective rise from 0.6670 has completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Break of 0.6838 will affirm this bearish case and target 0.6754 structural support for confirmation. On the upside, above 0.6930 minor resistance will dampen this case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7031 resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

AUD/USD Mid-Day Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6925; (P) 0.6942; (R1) 0.6958; More…

AUD/USD’s decline from 0.7031 accelerates to as low as 0.6863 so far. Current development argues that corrective rise from 0.6670 has completed with three waves up to 0.7031. Intraday bias stays on the downside at this point. Break of 0.6838 will affirm this bearish case and target 0.6754 structural support for confirmation. On the upside, above 0.6930 minor resistance will dampen this case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7031 resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6925; (P) 0.6942; (R1) 0.6958; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 07031 short term top should target 0.6838 support first. Break will target 0.6754 near term structural support next. On the upside, above 0.6965 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.7031 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6919; (P) 0.6956; (R1) 0.6982; More…

A short term top should be formed at 0.7031 already. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 1.6838 support first. Break will target 0.6754 near term structural support next. On the upside, though , break of 0.7031 will resume the corrective rebound from 0.6670 to 0.7082 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD rose to 0.7031 last week be reversed from there. The breach of 0.6938 resistance turned support suggests short term topping. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 1.6838 support first. Break will target 0.6754 near term structural support next. On the upside, though , break of 0.7031 will resume the corrective rebound from 0.6670 to 0.7082 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Next downside target is 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.