AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7037; (P) 0.7070; (R1) 0.7121; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. As long as 0.7159 resistance holds, near term outlook will remain bearish and further decline is expected. Break of 0.7020 extend the down trend from 0.8135 towards 0.6826 low. However, firm break of 0.7159 will be a first sign of trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.7314 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7314 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s down trend resumed last week and reached as low as 0.7020 but rebounded from there. Initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 0.7159 resistance holds, near term outlook will remain bearish and further decline is expected. Break of 0.7020 extend the down trend from 0.8135 towards 0.6826 low. However, firm break of 0.7159 will be a first sign of trend reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 0.7314 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7314 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish even in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, the corrective structure of rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) to 0.8135, and the failure to break 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 at 0.8451, carry bearish implications. AUD/USD was also rejected by 55 month EMA. Now, the down trend from 1.1079 is in favor to extend. On break of 0.6826, next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7057; (P) 0.7078; (R1) 0.7101; More…

AUD/USD drops sharply to as low as 0.7022 so far today. The break of 0.7040 low confirms resumption of the down trend from 0.8135. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.7314 to 0.7040 from 0.7159 at 0.6990. Break there will target 100% projection at 0.6885. On the upside, break of 0.7099 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stays bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7314 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7044; (P) 0.7076; (R1) 0.7092; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral first. Consolidation from 0.7040 might extends with another recovery. By upside should be limited by 0.7159 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 0.7040 will resume recent down from 0.8135. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.7314 to 0.7040 from 0.7159 at 0.6990 and then 100% projection at 0.6885.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7314 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7063; (P) 0.7077; (R1) 0.7099; More…

AUD/USD recovered ahead of 0.7040 low and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Consolidation from 0.7040 might extends with another recovery. By upside should be limited by 0.7159 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. on the downside, break of 0.7040 will resume recent down from 0.8135. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.7314 to 0.7040 from 0.7159 at 0.6990 and then 100% projection at 0.6885.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7314 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7063; (P) 0.7095; (R1) 0.7113; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7088 minor support should indicate completion of corrective rise from 0.7040 at 0.7159. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.7040 low first. Break there will resume recent down from 0.8135. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.7314 to 0.7040 from 0.7159 at 0.6990 and then 100% projection at 0.6885. On the upside, in case of another recovery, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.7159 to limit upside to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7314 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7089; (P) 0.7120; (R1) 0.7150; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point, with focus on 0.7088 minor support. Break there should indicate completion of the corrective rise from 0.7040 and bring retest of this low. Firm break there will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next. On the upside, above 0.7159 will extend the correction. But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s consolidation from 0.7040 extended last week. While there was a dip to 0.7088 after hitting 0.7159, the pair quickly recovered on lack of follow through selling. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Above 0.7159 will extend the correction. But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7088 minor support will bring retest of 0.7040 low first. Decisive break there will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

In the longer term picture, the corrective structure of rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) to 0.8135, and the failure to break 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 at 0.8451, carry bearish implications. AUD/USD was also rejected by 55 month EMA. Now, the down trend from 1.1079 is in favor to extend. On break of 0.6826, next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7081; (P) 0.7116; (R1) 0.7136; More…

AUD/USD’s breach of 0.7098 minor support suggests that corrective rebound from 0.7040 has completed at 0.7159 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.7040 low first. Break there will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next. On the upside, above 0.7159 will delay the bearish case and bring more consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7090; (P) 0.7125; (R1) 0.7144; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook. Corrective rise from 0.7040 is still in progress and further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.7098 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7040 low first. Break there will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7118; (P) 0.7135; (R1) 0.7158; More…

AUD/USD’s corrective rise from 0.7040 is still in progress and further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.7098 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7040 low first. Break there will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7103; (P) 0.7126; (R1) 0.7154; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook. Corrective rise from 0.7040 might extend higher. But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7040 will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7098; (P) 0.7119; (R1) 0.7137; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.7040 is in progress. Another rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should bel limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7040 will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD stayed in consolidation above 0.7040 last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of another rebound, upside should bel limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7040 will resume recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

In the longer term picture, the corrective structure of rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) to 0.8135, and the failure to break 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 at 0.8451, carry bearish implications. AUD/USD was also rejected by 55 month EMA. Now, the down trend from 1.1079 is in favor to extend. On break of 0.6826, next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7070; (P) 0.7100; (R1) 0.7153; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook as consolidation from 0.7040 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Stronger recovery could be seen but upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 0.7040 will resume whole down trend from 0.8135 to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7019; (P) 0.7075; (R1) 0.7106; More…

AUD/USD fell notably after rejection by 4 hour 55 EMA. But downside is held above 0.7040 low so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Another rebound cannot be ruled out yet. But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 0.7040 will resume whole down trend from 0.8135 to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7069; (P) 0.7088; (R1) 0.7121; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.7040 extends. While further rise cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance bring fall resumption. On the downside, of 0.7040 will resume whole down trend from 0.8135 to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7053; (P) 0.7068; (R1) 0.7093; More…

A temporary low should be in place at 0.7040 in AUD/USD with today’s recovery. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation first. Stronger recovery could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.7136). But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 0.7040 will resume whole down trend from 0.8135 to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7032; (P) 0.7059; (R1) 0.7077; More…

AUD/USD is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.7096 minor resistance intact. Current decline should target 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next. Though, above 0.7096 will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. Recovery could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.7152). But upside should be limited well below 0.7314 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD dropped to as low as 0.7041 last week as down trend from 0.8135 resumed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7084 from 0.7314 at 0.6948 next. On the upside, break of 0.7096 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, break of 0.7500 support turned resistance will argue that the corrective pattern from 0.6826 is going to extend with another rising leg before completion.

In the longer term picture, the corrective structure of rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) to 0.8135, and the failure to break 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 at 0.8451, carry bearish implications. AUD/USD was also rejected by 55 month EMA. Now, the down trend from 1.1079 is in favor to extend. On break of 0.6826, next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.