Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5413; (P) 1.5482; (R1) 1.5563; More…

EUR/AUD is extending the corrective pattern from 1.5704 and intraday bias stays neutral. If case of another fall, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5265) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.5704 will resume larger rise from 1.4281. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper correction towards 1.4965 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5455; (P) 1.5522; (R1) 1.5563; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in the sideway consolidation pattern from 1.5250, and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. On the downside, break of 1.5234 will bring retest of 1.5250 low. Overall, down trend from 1.9799 is expected to resume after consolidation from 1.5250 completes.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5530; (P) 1.5566; (R1) 1.5604; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.5606 resistance turn intraday bias to the upside. It’s now in the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250. Further rise would be seen to 1.5689 resistance first. break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. On the downside, below 1.5526 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6068; (P) 1.6141; (R1) 1.6190; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. For now, further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.5962 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6314 will re-affirm medium term bullishness and target 1.6432 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6079) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.5871 last week, but failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852 again. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 1.5657 support will suggest rejection by 1.5852 fibonacci level. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.5418 support first. Break there should confirm completion of consolidation pattern from 1.5250. On the upside, break of 1.5871 will extend the near term rebound to 1.6033 key support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn focus to 1.6827 structural resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) should have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799 (2020 high). Fall from there is seen as a medium term to long term down leg as a long term down trend, or a sideway pattern. We’ll assess the odds again at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5757; (P) 1.5825; (R1) 1.5868; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Rise from 1.5271 is likely still in progress. ON the upside, break of 1.5888 resistance will extend the rally towards 1.6139/89 resistance zone. However, break of 1.5651 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5886 at 1.5651) will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5271.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.6189 is a corrective move and has completed at 1.5271 already. Key support levels of 1.5153 and 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 were defended. And medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6604; (P) 1.6688; (R1) 1.6742; More…

Intraday bias in in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. On the downside, sustained trading below 1.6597 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.6085 support next. On the upside, firm break of 1.6892 resistance should confirm short term bottoming, and more importantly, successful defending of 1.6597 key support. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.7194 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6553). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5123; (P) 1.5171; (R1) 1.5198; More…

EUR/AUD dips sharply today and intraday bias is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 1.5226. Further rally is expected as long as 1.4927 support holds. Above 1.5226 will extend the rally from 1.3624 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455. However, break of 1.4927 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4669 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5642; (P) 1.5763; (R1) 1.5984; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally from 1.4281 should target 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5704 from 1.5271 at 1.6150. On the downside, below 1.5683 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5441 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5271 support holds, rise from 1.4281 medium term bottom is expected to continue to 1.6434 key resistance next. However, firm break of 1.5271 will argue that such rebound has completed, and keep medium term outlook neutral at best. But in this case, more range trading should be seen above 1.4281 low first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6427; (P) 1.6547; (R1) 1.6625; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the downside as fall from 1.9799 is in progress. Sustained trading below 1.6597 key support will carry larger bearish implication. Further fall would be seen to 1.6085 support next. On the upside, break of 1.6763 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6548). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5735; (P) 1.5787; (R1) 1.5820; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. At this point, we’re slightly favoring the case the rebound from 1.5354 has completed with three waves up to 1.6168. Below 1.5655 will affirm this case and target 1.5354 and then 1.5250 low. However, above 1.5905 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6168 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral for the moment. Rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4974; (P) 1.5023; (R1) 1.5080; More…

Consolidation from 1.5074 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another fall, downside of retreat should be contained above 1.4669 support and bring rise resumption. We’re holding on to the bullish view that the medium term trend has reversed. Break of 1.5094 resistance will extend the rally from 1.3624 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.4669 will confirm short term topping and bring deeper pull back, possibly to 55 day EMA (now at 1.4469).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455 and above. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4309 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5669; (P) 1.5717; (R1) 1.5741; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for retesting 1.5591 support. Break there will resume larger down trend and target 61.8% projection of 1.6409 to 1.5591 from 1.5945 at 1.5439. On the upside, however, break of 1.5945 resistance will resume the rebound from 1.5591 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4821; (P) 1.4885; (R1) 1.4919; More…

The correction from 1.5226 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Deeper fall could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3980 to 1.5226 at 1.4750. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 1.4669 to contain downside and bring rebound. Larger rise from 1.3642 is expected to resume later after the pull back completes.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4669 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6043; (P) 1.6078; (R1) 1.6118; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is neutral for consolidation above 1.6025 temporary low first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.6259 resistance to bring fall resumption. Decline from 1.6448 is now seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.6765 high. Break of 1.6025 will target 1.5683 support and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6483; (P) 1.6564; (R1) 1.6688; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.6650 resistance will argue that pull back from 1.7062 has completed, after drawing support from medium term rising trend line. Further rally would be seen back to retest 1.7062. Nevertheless, break of 1.6319 will resume the fall to 1.6000 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 is probably correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.6650 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6146; (P) 1.6225; (R1) 1.6283; More..

EUR/AUD’s decline is resuming by breaching 1.6137 and intraday bias is back on the downside for 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6319 from 1.6844 at 1.6106. Meanwhile, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 1.6313 resistance should indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.6478 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correcting the whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6844 resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.6000 would bring further fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.5343.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6075; (P) 1.6144; (R1) 1.6201; More…

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6593 is still in progress. With 1.6106 support broken, intraday bias stays on the downside for retesting 1.5962 low next. On the upside, above 1.6212 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD drew support from 55 week EMA and rebounded strongly again. The development indicates that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5962 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6136; (P) 1.6177; (R1) 1.6200; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for the moment. Corrective recovery from 1.5905 should have completed at 1.6432 already. Further fall should be seen to retest 1.5984/5905 key support zone. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 1.6218 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6432 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6058) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6304; (P) 1.6353; (R1) 1.6389; More…

EUR/AUD is still bounded in established range of 1.6033/6772 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6722 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the decline from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.