Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6041; (P) 1.6097; (R1) 1.6168; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral as it recovered after hitting 1.6033 low again. On the downside, decisive break of 1.6033 will resume whole down trend from 1.9799. On the upside, firm break of 1.630 resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.6033 with another rising leg, back to 1.6827 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.9799 are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. The question is whether it’s a sideway pattern or a deep correction. On the downside, sustained break of 1.6033 will suggest it’s the latter case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. On the upside, break of 1.6827 resistance will favor the former case and bring stronger rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6397; (P) 1.6462; (R1) 1.6545; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in range below 1.6552 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.6247 support intact, further rally is expected. As noted before, correction from 1.6785 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5846. Above 1.6552 will target a retest on 1.6785 high next. Nevertheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.6247 will dampen this view and turn bias to the downside for 1.5846 support.

In the bigger picture, with 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 intact, rally from 1.4281 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6785 will confirm rise resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. On the other hand, rejection by 1.6785 will extend the corrective pattern with another fall leg. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5828 holds.

EUR/AUD gyrated lower as correction from 1.5704 extended last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first and deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5199) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.5704 will resume the rally from 1.4281.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

In the longer term picture, breach of 55 month EMA (now at 1.5613) raises the chance of medium term bullish reversal. Focus is back on 1.6434 cluster resistance, 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 (2020 high) to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there will confirm and target 61.8% retracement at 1.7691.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5818; (P) 1.5866; (R1) 1.5902; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.5976 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another rise could be seen with 1.5614 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.5976 will resume the choppy rise from 1.5250 to 1.6033 key support turned resistance next. Sustained break there will argue that longer term trend has reversed, and target 1.6827 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, outlook stays bearish with 1.6033 support turned resistance intact for now. Fall from 1.9799, as a correction to to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.5250 later. However, However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed. Stronger rebound would then be seen 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6283; (P) 1.6323; (R1) 1.6350; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6448 is extending. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained well above 1.6052 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6448 will target 100% projection of 1.5683 to 1.6262 from 1.6052 at 1.6631 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6675; (P) 1.6735; (R1) 1.6770; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first as it could take out 1.6647 support decisively. On the downside, firm break of 1.6647 will extend the corrective fall from 1.7062 to 1.6259/6601 support zone. On the upside, firm break of 1.6887 resistance should confirm that correction from 1.7062 has completed at 1.6647. Further rally should be seen through 1.7062 to 1.7377 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5846 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6073; (P) 1.6107; (R1) 1.6127; More…

EUR/AUD’s correction from 1.6262 extends lower today and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.5683 to 1.6262 at 1.6041 to bring rise resumption. Current development argues that correction from 1.6765 has completed with three waves down to 1.5683. On the upside, break of 1.6262 will pave the way to retest 1.6765 high. However, firm break of 1.6041 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.5904.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5893; (P) 1.5920; (R1) 1.5946; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.5894 temporary low. Stronger recovery could be seen but upside should be limited below 1.6231 resistance to bring another fall. Decline from 1.6448 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.6765 high. Break of 1.5894 will target 1.5683 support and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6104; (P) 1.6128; (R1) 1.6165; More…

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5907 continues today and intraday bias is staying on the upside. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.6434 resistance first. With 1.5898 support intact, larger rise from 1.5250 is still in progress, and break of 1.6434 will confirm resumption, for 1.6988 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.6059 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5898 structural support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5843; (P) 1.5888; (R1) 1.5912; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.5959 temporary top. As long as 1.5828 minor support holds, further rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.5959 will target 1.6122 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm completion with corrective fall from 1.6765 at 1.5683. In this case, further rally should be seen back to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, below 1.5828 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5683 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6448 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains on the downside this week first. Decline from 1.6448 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.6765 high. Next target will be 1.5683 support and below. On the upside, above 1.6034 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5592; (P) 1.5634; (R1) 1.5661; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.5578 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.5685) to bring another fall. Below 1.5578 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.5271 low. Overall, even in case of stronger rebound, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5888 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from m 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD surged to as high as 1.7069 last week and resumed larger up trend from 1.1602. Initial bias remains on the upside for 161.8% projection of 1.5962 to 1.6593 from 1.6085 at 1.7106. Break will target 200% projection at 1.7347 next. On the downside, below 1.6827 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.6593 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) has just resumed and persistent strong support from 55 week EMA affirm medium term bullishness. 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 is next target. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5906 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5962 remains intact. Break of 1.7488 will target 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 1.8619.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5799; (P) 1.5842; (R1) 1.5882; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside for retesting 1.5683 low. At this point, we’re still slightly favoring the bullish case that correction from 1.6765 has completed with three waves down to 1.5683. Thus, downside of current retreat should be contained above 1.5683 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.5959 will target 1.6122 resistance to confirm our bullish view.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5738; (P) 1.5833; (R1) 1.5887; More…

EUR/AUD reached as low as 1.5780 but recovered since then. It’s also kept in range of 1.5721/6122. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more consolidation could still be seen. On the downside, break of 1.5721 low will resume the fall from 1.6765 and target 1.5346 support next. On the upside, though, break of 1.6122 will extend the pattern from 1.5721 with another rise.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4992; (P) 1.5099; (R1) 1.5303; More…

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.4138 resumed by breaking through 1.5053 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside with focus on 1.5354 cluster resistance (100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5053 from 1.4597 at 1.5332. Rejection by this level will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4138 low at a later stage. But firm break of 1.5332/54 will argue that the larger trend is reversing. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.5786 first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

EUR/AUD remained bounded in the consolidation form 1.6033 last week and overall outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week for some more sideway trading. On the downside, decisive break of 1.6033 will resume the down trend from 1.9799. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 1.6585 resistance should turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5792). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.6586 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) could have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799. The development suggests that long term range trading is extending with another medium term down leg. Sustained trading below 55 month EMA (now at 1.5792) will further affirm this case and target 1.1602/3624 support zone.

EUR/AUD dipped to 1.6247 last week but quickly rebounded after drawing support from 1.6255. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further rally remains in favor. As noted before, correction from 1.6785 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5846. Above 1.6552 will target a retest on 1.6785 high next. Nevertheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.6255 will dampen this view and turn bias to the downside for 1.5846 support.

In the bigger picture, with 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 intact, rally from 1.4281 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6785 will confirm rise resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. On the other hand, rejection by 1.6785 will extend the corrective pattern with another fall leg. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5828 holds.

In the longer term picture, it’s still early to decide if rise from 1.4281 is resuming whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). But in either case, further rally is in favor as long as 1.5254 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.7691.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5775; (P) 1.5832; (R1) 1.5862; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral with focus on 1.5776 support. Firm break there will suggest that rise from 1.5559 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen back to this support first. On the upside, above 1.6002 will bring retest of 1.6223 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. The correction from 1.5570 could still extend lower. But again, near term outlook stays bullish with 1.5226 resistance turned support intact. Break of 1.5526 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.5770 resistance. However, sustained break of 1.5226 will indicate larger reversal and target 1.4949 support next.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). However, sustained break of 1.5226 will indicate trend reversal and target 1.3624 again.