EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s rally accelerated to as high as 1.1383 last week. But as a temporary top was formed after subsequent retreat, initial bias is neutral this week first. Further rally is in favor as long as 1.1195 minor support holds. Above 1.1383 will target a test on 1.1496 key resistance. Though, break of 1.1195 will indicate short term topping ad turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish for now as it’s staying below 55 month EMA, as well as decade long falling trend line. Down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in favor to extend through 1.0339 down the road. However, sustained trading above 55 month EMA will firstly suggest that fall from 1.2555 has completed. It would also be an early indication on long term bullish reversal. Focus would be back on 1.255 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ).

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1232; (P) 1.1297; (R1) 1.1399; More

EUR/USD retreats mildly after hitting 1.1383 but there is no clear sign of topping yet. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.1496 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 1.1195 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1232; (P) 1.1297; (R1) 1.1399; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Current rally is in progress for 1.1496 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 1.1195 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1180; (P) 1.1219; (R1) 1.1271; More

EUR/USD’s rally resumes after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should target 1.1496 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 1.1186 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1180; (P) 1.1219; (R1) 1.1271; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.1115 support holds. Break of 1.1257 will target a test on 1.1496 key resistance next. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, through, break of 1.1115 minor support will revive the case that price actions from 1.0635 are merely a corrective pattern. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1008 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1123; (P) 1.1160; (R1) 1.1204; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Stronger rebound is possibly underway to retest 1.1496 key resistance. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, below 1.1115 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1123; (P) 1.1160; (R1) 1.1204; More

The strong break of 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167 suggests that stronger rally is underway. Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the upside for retesting 1.1496 high. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, below 1.1115 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1105; (P) 1.1129; (R1) 1.1158; More

EUR/USD’s rally resumed after brief retreat and hits as high as 1.1187. 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167 is breached and is now the focus. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to retest 1.1496 key resistance. On the downside, break of 1.1081 minor support will suggest rejection by 1.1167 and turn bias to the downside for 1.1108 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1105; (P) 1.1129; (R1) 1.1158; More

With 4 hour MACD crossed below signa line, intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first. We continue to expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167 to complete the consolidation pattern from 1.0635. On the downside, below 1.1008 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.0870 support. However, sustained break of 1.1167 will pave the way to 1.1496 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1070; (P) 1.1108; (R1) 1.1145; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the upside at this point. Price actions from 1.0635 are seen as corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, below 1.1008 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.0870 support. However, sustained break of 1.1167 will pave the way to 1.1496 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1070; (P) 1.1108; (R1) 1.1145; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for further rise. Price actions from 1.0635 are seen as corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, below 1.1008 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.0870 support. However, sustained break of 1.1167 will pave the way to 1.1496 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD surges to as high as 1.1145 last week as consolidation pattern form 1.0635 extended with another rise. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, below 1.1008 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.0870 support. However, sustained break of 1.1167 will pave the way to 1.1496 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish for now. EUR/USD is held below decade long trend line that started from 1.6039 (2008 high). It was also rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 before. On break of 1.0339, next target will be 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2555 at 0.8901.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1017; (P) 1.1055; (R1) 1.1119; More

EUR/USD rises to as high as 1.1145 so far today and intraday bias stays on the upside. We’re still seeing price actions from 1.0635 as a corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, below 1.1008 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.0870 support. However, sustained break of 1.1167 will pave the way to 1.1496 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1017; (P) 1.1055; (R1) 1.1119; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.1147 resistance. Price actions from 1.0635 are seen as a corrective pattern. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, below 1.0991 minor support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.0870 support. However, sustained break of 1.1167 will pave the way to 1.1496 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0951; (P) 1.0991; (R1) 1.1048; More

EUR/USD’s rally form 1.0774 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. It’s seen as a rising leg in the consolidation pattern from 1.0635. Next target is 1.1147 resistance. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, below 1.0991 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Break of 1.0870 will turn bias to the downside for 1.0774 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0951; (P) 1.0991; (R1) 1.1048; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.1147 resistance. But overall, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167 to complete the consolidation pattern from 1.0635. On the downside, break of 1.0870 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0774 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0919; (P) 1.0957; (R1) 1.1022; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1008 minor resistance suggest resumption of rise from 1.0774. Also, corrective pattern from 1.0635 is in another rising leg. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.1147 resistance. Though, we’d still expect upside to be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0870 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0774 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0919; (P) 1.0957; (R1) 1.1022; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.1008 resistance will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0635 with another rise towards 1.1147 resistance. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0870 minor support will turn bias to the downside and target a test on 1.0635 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0873; (P) 1.0894; (R1) 1.0917; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral but focus is on 1.1008 resistance with today’s rebound. Break will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0635 with another rise towards 1.1147 resistance. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0870 minor support will turn bias to the downside and target a test on 1.0635 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0873; (P) 1.0894; (R1) 1.0917; More

EUR/USD still staying in consolidation from 1.0635 and intraday bias remains neutral. Above 1.1008 will bring stronger rise towards 1.1147 resistance. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0774 will target a test on 1.0635 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.