Sun, Oct 02, 2022 @ 06:46 GMT

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD rose to 1.2322 last week but turned into consolidation since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 1.2088 resistance turned support holds, near term outlook remains bullish and another rise is expected. Above 1.2322 will extend the medium term rise to next key fibonacci level at 1.2494/2516. We’d expect strong resistance from there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of further rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

In the long term picture, 1.0339 is seen as an important bottom as the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) could have completed. It’s still early to decide whether price action form 1.0339 is developing into a corrective or impulsive pattern. On the upside, strong resistance could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516. On the downside, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.0339 in medium term.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

EUR/USD Monthly Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2181; (P) 1.2222 (R1) 1.2281; More….

EUR/USD continues to be bounded in consolidative trading below 1.2322 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen. But as long as 1.2088 resistance turned support holds, further rally is expected. Break of 1.2322 will resume medium term rise to 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2181; (P) 1.2222 (R1) 1.2281; More….

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.2322 and intraday bias remains neutral. Near term outlook remains bullish with 1.2088 resistance turned support intact, and further rise is expected. Above 1.2322 will resume medium term rally to 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2132; (P) 1.2228 (R1) 1.2279; More….

EUR/USD recovers mildly but stays in range below 1.2322 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Also, as long as 1.2088 resistance turned support stays intact, near term outlook remains bullish. Current medium term rally would target 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2132; (P) 1.2228 (R1) 1.2279; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2322 temporary top. But, as long as 1.2088 resistance turned support stays intact, near term outlook remains bullish. Current medium term rally would target 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2208; (P) 1.2246 (R1) 1.2297; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point and more consolidations could be seen. As long as 1.2088 resistance turned support stays intact, near term outlook remains bullish. Current medium term rally would target 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2208; (P) 1.2246 (R1) 1.2297; More….

EUR/USD edged higher to 1.2322 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.2088 resistance turned support holds. Current medium term rally could target 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.2088 will argue that EUR/USD has topped earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2202; (P) 1.2249 (R1) 1.2311; More….

A temporary top is in place at 1.2296 with the current retreat. Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral for consolidations. Near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1915 support holds. Above 1.2296 will extend the medium term rally to 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.1915 will argue that the medium term trend is reversing earlier than expected.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2202; (P) 1.2249 (R1) 1.2311; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Current rally is targeting 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d continue to expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, below 1.2200 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.1915 support holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2079; (P) 1.2149 (R1) 1.2267; More….

EUR/USD reaches as high as 1.2239 so far as recent rally extends. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. At this point, we’d continue to expect strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, below 1.2121 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.1915 support holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494. Break of 1.1553 support will confirm completion of the rise. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1953; (P) 1.2006 (R1) 1.2084; More….

EUR/USD’s firm break of 1.2091 resistance today indicates resumption of medium term rise from 1.0339. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should target 1.2494/2516 key resistance zone next. On the downside, break of 1.1915 support is needed to confirm short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1953; (P) 1.2006 (R1) 1.2084; More….

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1915 extends higher but it’s still limited below 1.2091 key resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Again, decisive break of 1.2091 key resistance is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more corrective trading should be seen with risk of another fall. Below 1.1915 will turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below. Nonetheless, firm break of 1.2091 will resume whole medium term rise from 1.0339 towards 1.2516 long term fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1907; (P) 1.1963 (R1) 1.2002; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Again, decisive break of 1.2091 key resistance is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more corrective trading should be seen with risk of another fall. Below 1.1915 will turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1908; (P) 1.1942 (R1) 1.1968; More….

EUR/USD rebounds strongly after hitting 1.1915. Intraday bias is turned neutral and near term outlook is turned mixed. But after all, decisive break of 1.2091 key resistance is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more corrective trading should be seen with risk of another fall. Below 1.1915 will turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1908; (P) 1.1942 (R1) 1.1968; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.2088 is in progress. Such decline could be the the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.2091. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below. On the upside, above 1.1981 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But firm break of 1.2091 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1931; (P) 1.1991 (R1) 1.2028; More….

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.2088 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884. Such decline might be the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.2091. Break of 1.1884 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below. On the upside, firm break of 1.2091 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1931; (P) 1.1991 (R1) 1.2028; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside for the moment. The pair could have been rejected by 1.2091 key near term resistance. And, fall from 1.2088 might be the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.2091. Further decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884. Break of 1.1884 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below. On the upside, firm break of 1.2091 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2006; (P) 1.2044 (R1) 1.2068; More….

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.2088 extends lower today. Break of 4 hour 55 EMA argues that it’s rejected by 1.2091 key near term resistance. And, such decline could be the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.2091. Intraday bias is turned to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.2088 at 1.1884. Break of 1.1884 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1757 and below. On the upside, firm break of 1.2091 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective trading in near term.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2006; (P) 1.2044 (R1) 1.2068; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1977) holds. Firm break of 1.2091 will confirm medium term rally resumption and target next key fibonacci level at 1.2494/2516. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2091 with another decline through 1.1717 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD rose to 1.2088 last week but failed to take out 1.2091 resistance and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Further rise is expected as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.1971) holds. Firm break of 1.2091 will confirm medium term rally resumption and target next key fibonacci level at 1.2494/2516. However, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2091 with another decline through 1.1717 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be expect 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. That is also close to 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494.

In the long term picture, 1.0339 is seen as an important bottom as the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) could have completed. It’s still early to decide whether price action form 1.0339 is developing into a corrective or impulsive pattern. On the upside, strong resistance could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516. On the downside, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.0339 in medium term.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

EUR/USD Monthly Chart