EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1241; (P) 1.1264; (R1) 1.1298; More…..

EUR/USD is staying in tight range and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.1286 will extend the rise from 1.1183 for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1308) first. Sustained break will target 1.1448 resistance next. For now, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.1210 minor support will turn bias to the downside. Decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1241; (P) 1.1264; (R1) 1.1298; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.1286 will extend the rise from 1.1183 for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1308) first. Sustained break will target 1.1448 resistance next. For now, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.1210 minor support will turn bias to the downside. Decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1250; (P) 1.1268; (R1) 1.1280; More…..

With sharp retreat and 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first. ON the upside, above 1.1286 will extend the rise from 1.1183 for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1309) first. Break will target 1.1448 resistance next. For now, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1250; (P) 1.1268; (R1) 1.1280; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the upside for further rise. A short term bottom was formed at 1.1183, just ahead of 1.1176 low. Rebound from there would target 55 day EMA (now at 1.1309) first. Break will target 1.1448 resistance next. For now, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1222; (P) 1.1249; (R1) 1.1287; More…..

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1183 extends today. Break of 1.1273 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.1183, just ahead of 1.1176 low. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1311) first. Break will target 1.1448 resistance next. For now, we’d expect strong resistance between 1.1448/1569 to limit upside. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1222; (P) 1.1249; (R1) 1.1287; More…..

EUR/USD is still holding below 1.1273 minor resistance and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1202; (P) 1.1223; (R1) 1.1237; More…..

EUR/USD recovers strongly today but stays below 1.1273 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. on the upside, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming at 1.1183. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1202; (P) 1.1223; (R1) 1.1237; More…..

Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds, further decline is in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD edged lower to 1.1183 but recovered ahead of 1.1176 low. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidation first. As long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds, further decline is in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1176 will resume the down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1569 resistance holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1200; (P) 1.1225; (R1) 1.1245; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. More consolidations could be seen. Still, further decline is in favor as long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.1176 low will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1200; (P) 1.1225; (R1) 1.1245; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point and more sideway trading could be seen. Still, further decline is in favor as long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.1176 low will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1204; (P) 1.1230; (R1) 1.1258; More…..

EUR/USD dips notably in early US session but stays well above 1.1176 low. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more consolidative trading could be seen. But further decline is still in favor as long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.1176 low will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1204; (P) 1.1230; (R1) 1.1258; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. More consolidation could be seen above 1.1183 temporary low. But further decline is still in favor as long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.1176 low will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1187; (P) 1.1201; (R1) 1.1220; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.1183 temporary low. Further decline is still in favor as long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.1176 low will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1448 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1187; (P) 1.1201; (R1) 1.1220; More…..

EUR/USD recovers again ahead of 1.1176 low and intraday bias is turned neutral. As long as 1.1273 minor resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Sustained break of 1.1176 will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1448 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1194; (P) 1.1222; (R1) 1.1241; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.1448 is in progress for 1.1176 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1448 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1194; (P) 1.1222; (R1) 1.1241; More…..

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1448 resumed after brief consolidation. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.1176 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1273 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1448 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1203; (P) 1.1225; (R1) 1.1240; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. With 1.1285 minor resistance intact, further decline is in favor. Below 1.1209 will target 1.1176 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1285 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1448 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1203; (P) 1.1225; (R1) 1.1240; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with today’s recovery and some consolidation could be seen. With 1.1285 minor resistance intact, further decline is in favor. Below 1.1209 will target 1.1176 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1285 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1448 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s decline from 1.1448 extended lower last week. Despite loss of downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, further decline is expected this week as long as 1.1285 minor resistance holds. Focus remains on 1.1176 low and decisive break there will resume whole decline from 1.2555. On the upside, however, break of 1.1285 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1448 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term weakness was revived as the weak rebound from 1.1176 was rejected well below 55 week EMA and failed to sustain above 55 day EMA. Focus is back on 1.1176 low, with 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.1186. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. Such decline target 1.0339 low next. On the upside, firm break of 1.1569 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, downside breakout will be in favor.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1569 resistance holds.