Thu, Oct 17, 2019 @ 07:52 GMT

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.35; (P) 141.18; (R1) 141.90; More

GBP/JPY is trading in range of 138.53/142.79 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a corrective pattern. Below 138.53 will bring deeper fall, possibly through 136.44 support. But strong support could be seen at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. Above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.54; (P) 145.99; (R1) 146.30; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Deeper fall should be seen back to 143.18/76 support zone. On the upside, above 147.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 149.30/99 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

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GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.23; (P) 128.78; (R1) 129.29; More

GBP/JPY’s break of 128.11 suggests resumption of recent decline. Intraday bias is turned to the downside to extend the fall from 148.84 to 122.36 low. On the upside, break of 130.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.73; (P) 145.48; (R1) 146.36; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 144.37 continues today and focus is back on 146.46 minor resistance. Firm break will suggests that rebound from 143.18 is still in progress. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 148.10 resistance and above. On the downside, below 144.37 will target 143.18 first. Break will resume larger decline from 156.59 and target 139.25/47 cluster support level.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.84; (P) 142.52; (R1) 143.07; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. With 144.01 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook stays mildly bearish for deeper decline. Break of 141.24 will extend the fall from 147.76 to 138.65 support and below. As GBP/JPY is seen as staying in consolidation pattern from 148.42, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside. On the upside, break of 144.01 will indicate completion of the decline from 147.76 and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. But we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.96; (P) 153.31; (R1) 153.76; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook even though it’s losing upside momentum. As long as 151.74 minor support holds, further rally is expected. Current rise should target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32 first. Break will target 100% projection at 160.49 next. However, firm break of 151.74 will turn focus back to 149.40 support instead.

In the bigger picture, it now looks like GBP/JPY has finally taken out 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.43. Medium term rise from 122.36 should be targeting 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 146.96 support remains intact.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s fall from 148.09 extended to as low as 139.52 last week and broke 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. The cross is kept well below falling 4 hour 55 EMA and inside near term falling channel. Initial bias stays on the downside this week and current fall would target 135.58 support. We’ll look for bottoming sign again around there. On the upside, break of 142.75 resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 148.09. Otherwise, near term outlook will say mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.11; (P) 148.20; (R1) 148.94; More…

GBP/JPY is staying above 147.04 so far despite the sharp fall from 149.29. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 147.04 could extend further. But in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 147.04 will target 144.97 first. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.99; (P) 139.64; (R1) 140.03; More

GBP/JPY dips mildly today but it’s, after all, bounded in range of 138.53/142.79. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. We’re treating price actions from 148.42 as a corrective pattern. Break of 138.53 support will bring deeper decline to 136.44 support and possibly below. However, we’d expect strong support at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.54; (P) 146.18; (R1) 147.36; More…

As noted before, the break of 38.2% retracement of 156.59 to 139.88 at 146.26 suggests that whole decline from 156.59 has completed at 139.88, just ahead of 139.29/47 key support zone. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 149.30 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 144.66 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. Focus remains on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.94; (P) 143.03; (R1) 144.44; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 144.77 will extend the rise from 136.44 to 148.42 resistance next. Break there will resume whole rise from 122.46 and target 150.42 long term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, below 140.43 minors support will turn bias to the downside to extend the pattern from 148.42 with another falling leg, possibly through 136.44.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern even. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Though, sustained break will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.84; (P) 142.46; (R1) 143.12; More….

GBP/JPY is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But intraday bias stays on the downside with 143.36 minor resistance intact. Fall from 148.09 is expected to extend to 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. At this point, we’d still expect rebound from 122.36 to resume later. Hence, we’d look for strong support below 140.35 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 143.36 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. However, sustained trading below 140.35 will dampen our bullish view and turn focus back to 135.58 key near term support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.34; (P) 140.83; (R1) 141.46; More…

Intraday bias remains neutral for consolidation above 139.88 temporary low. Deeper fall could be seen. But considering loss of downside momentum, downside will be contained by 139.29/47 key support level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.46 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.73; (P) 137.54; (R1) 138.18; More

Further fall is expected in GBP/JPY with 140.08 resistance intact. But still, choppy price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d anticipate strong support from medium term fibonacci level at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 140.08 resistance will now indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 142.79 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s stayed in range of 144.01/147.76 last week but last decline argues that fall from 147.76 is resuming. Initial bias remains neutral this week first with focus on 144.01. Break will turn bias to the downside for trend line support (now at 141/54). Further break there will target 135.58/138.65 support zone. However, above 146.77 will turn bias to the upside. Further break of 147.76/148.42 key resistance zone will resume larger rebound from 122.36.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

In the longer term picture, it remains to be confirmed is whole down trend from 195.86 has completed at 122.36 already and there is no confirmation yet. But in any case, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.43 would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. And with that, the 55 month EMA will be firmly taken out which suggests that price actions from 116.83 is indeed a sideway pattern that could last more than a decade.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.48; (P) 143.10; (R1) 144.08; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 140.35. At this point, we’d still expect rebound from 122.36 to resume later. Hence, we’d look for strong support below 140.35 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 145.43 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.93; (P) 149.78; (R1) 150.42; More…

With 150.62 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 148.37 support. Current fall from 153.84 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 156.59. Break of 148.37 will pave the way to 144.97 and below. On the upside, above 150.62 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 152.71 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.54; (P) 153.14; (R1) 153.51; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 153.83 temporary top. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 151.15 minor support to bring rise resumption. Above 153.83 will extend the rally from 144.97 and target to retest 156.96 high. However, break of 151.15 will suggest that such rebound from 144.97 has completed and bring retest of this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.47; (P) 145.38; (R1) 146.06; More

Break of 145.25 support suggests that fall from 147.76 is resuming. intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 144.07) first. Sustained break there will target r138.65 support and below. But we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we’d be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s pull back from 148.09 extended to 143.34 last week. But the cross drew support from 38.2% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 143.31 and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 145.78 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first. Meanwhile, break of 143.34 will extend the pull back from 148.09 to 61.8% retracement at 140.35. Overall, we’d still expect the rise from 122.36 to resume after pull back from 148.09 completes. Break of 148.09 will target 150.42 long term fibonacci level first.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

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