Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.63; (P) 143.12; (R1) 143.50; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 144.84 continues. Further rise is still expected as long as 140.62 support holds. Above 144.84 will extend the rebound from 131.51 to trendline resistance at around 147.35. We’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside at first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.59; (P) 160.41; (R1) 161.50; More…

Outlook in GBP/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 155.33 will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 162.32 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 163.35) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 153.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 153.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.99; (P) 189.36; (R1) 189.70; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidations continue below 190.05. Further rally is expected with 187.83 minor support intact. Break of 190.05 will target 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50. However, break of 187.83 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction back to 185.21 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.01; (P) 152.06; (R1) 152.79; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside for 150.18 support. . Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, the near term trend could have reversed. Break of 150.18 will affirm this case and target 146.96 key support level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 and then 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.61; (P) 151.88; (R1) 152.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with today’s retreat. Another rise is in favor as long as 150.71 minor support holds. Above 152.12 will resume the rebound from 148.43 to 153.46 resistance first. . Firm break there will pave the way to retest 156.05 high. On the downside, however, break of 150.71 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 148.43 again.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.17; (P) 148.92; (R1) 149.45; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Corrective rise from 144.97 might still extend. But we’d expect strong resistance from limit upside and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 147.65 minor support will bring retest of 144.97 low first. However, sustained break of 150.92 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.75; (P) 136.19; (R1) 136.53; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral again with today’s sharp retreat. Further rise would remain in favor as long as 134.12 support holds. Break of 136.63 will target 139.73 key resistance. However, firm break of 134.12 will suggest completion of the rebound from 131.68. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY’s sharp decline last week argues that the consolidation pattern from 143.18 has completed with three waves up to 149.30 already. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 143.18/76 support zone. On the upside, above 147.65 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 149.30/99 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.36) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.44; (P) 148.27; (R1) 148.86; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 147.63 minor support suggests short term topping at 149.30, after failing to break 149.99 resistance. The development also argues that price action from 143.18 is a consolidation pattern that’s completed. Intraday bias is turned to he downside for retesting 143.18.76 support zone first. On the upside, above 149.30 will bring turn bias to the upside for 149.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

GBP/JPY’s decline resumed last week to close at 129.68. The development affirmed the view that corrective rebound form 123.94 has completed at 135.74. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44. Firm break there will target a test on 123.94 low. On the upside, above 131.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) could be resuming. Break of 116.83 will target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.65; (P) 189.09; (R1) 189.57; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 187.94 will resume the decline from 191.29 to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33. Sustained break there will raise the chance of larger scale correction and target 61.8% retracement at 183.27. On the upside, though, firm break 189.69 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 191.29 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.79; (P) 149.38; (R1) 150.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. On the downside, sustained break of of 38.2% retracement of 136.96 to 156.05 at 148.75 will argue that it’s correcting whole up trend from 123.94, and target 142.71 resistance turned support next. On the upside, though, break of 151.28 support turned resistance will suggest that correction form 156.05 has completed after defending 148.75. Stronger rise should then be seen back to retest 156.05 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

GBP/JPY’s break of 133.98 resistance last week argue that fall from 139.73 might have completed at 131.68. Initial bias is mildly on the upside for 136.34 resistance first. Break will confirm this case and bring retest of 139.73 high. Though, break of 131.95 support would resume the decline through 131.68 to 129.27 key support.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a sideway consolidation pattern. As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.87) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.49; (P) 181.73; (R1) 182.04; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation above 180.78 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. With 183.34 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 180.78 will resume the fall from 186.75 to 176.29 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.69; (P) 183.23; (R1) 184.21; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook. Further rise is expected despite loss of upside momentum. Current up trend should target 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36 next. On the downside, however, break of 179.90 support will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.80; (P) 140.27; (R1) 140.81; More…

GBP/JPY is still bounded in range of 138.53/142.79 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a corrective pattern. Below 138.53 will bring deeper fall, possibly through 136.44 support. But strong support could be seen at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. Above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.58; (P) 155.23; (R1) 155.80; More…

No change in GBP/JPY’s outlook as correction from 158.19 is still extending. Deeper fall could be seen but downside should be contained above 153.66 support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 158.19 will resume larger up trend from 123.94. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.17; (P) 167.30; (R1) 168.16; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained well above 159.02 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 168.40 will target 100% projection of 150.96 to 164.61 from 159.02 at 172.68.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress, and notable support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93. Sustained break there will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds.

Last week’s recovery suggests that GBP/JPY’s correction from 172.11 has completed at 163.20, after hitting 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 172.11 at 163.25. Initial bias is mildly on the upside for retesting 172.11 high first. On the downside, however, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 172.11 at 163.25 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 157.78 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 151.88) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.28; (P) 145.89; (R1) 146.98; More…

Despite today’s sharp retreat, further rise remains mildly in favor in GBP/JPY with 144.80 minor support intact. Break of 147.01 will solidify that case that consolidation from 148.87 has completed. Further rise should be seen to retest 148.87/149.48 resistance zone next. On the downside, though, break of 144.80 minor support will turn focus back to 143.72 key support.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 149.98 key resistance. Decisive break there should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Rise from 131.51 is then seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). GBP/JPY should then target 156.59 and above. However, rejection by 149.98 will retain medium term bearishness and could extend the fall from 156.59 through 131.51 to 122.36.