Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.78; (P) 166.64; (R1) 167.13; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 164.02 should resume the whole fall from 172.11 through 163.02 support. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 168.99 resistance will bring stronger rebound to retest 172.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term upside momentum has been diminishing as seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 160.66) will argue that it’s already correcting whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Nevertheless, before that, such up trend could still extend through 172.11 high.

GBP/JPY edged higher to 188.90 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rally is expected as long as 186.14 support holds. Break of 188.90, and sustained trading above 188.63, will confirm up trend resumption. Next target is 38.2% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 191.04. However, break of 186.14 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) in in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress despite loss of upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, as long as 172.11 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.52; (P) 142.03; (R1) 142.73; More

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 139.29 resumed today by breaking 142.98. Focus is now back on 143.18 resistance. Decisive break there will indicate short term reversal. That’s fall from 147.76 has completed at 139.29. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 147.76/148.42 resistance zone. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 135.58 cluster support to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.87; (P) 133.42; (R1) 134.28; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Corrective recovery from 123.94 might extend higher. But upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92. On the downside, break of 129.85 minor support will bring retest of 123.94 low first. However, sustained break of 136.92 will raise the chance of trend reversal and turn focus to 144.95 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.70; (P) 143.20; (R1) 143.90; More….

Break of 141.3.36 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 141.43, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. And, the pull back from 148.09 could have completed too. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 145.43 resistance first. Decisive break there should confirm this bullish case. And also, in that case, whole rally from 122.36 could be resuming through 148.42 resistance to long term fibonacci level at 150.42.

In the bigger picture, rise from 122.36 medium term bottom is still expected to extend to of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. And decisive break there could pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, as the cross is starting to lose upside momentum, rejection below 150.42 and break of 135.58 support will indicate reversal and bring deeper fall back to retest 122.36 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 191.09; (P) 193.43; (R1) 194.99; More..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 191.42) will extend the fall from 200.53, as correction to rise from 178.32, to 61.8% retracement of 178.32 to 200.53 at 186.80. On the upside, break of 195.73 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral, and set up the range for sideway consolidations.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 198.89 will pave the way to 100% projection at 211.65. Break of 189.97 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 152.88 extended higher last week, but lost momentum after hitting 156.48. Initial bias is neutral this week first. The consolidation pattern from 158.19 could still extend further. On the downside, below 154.46 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 152.88 support and below. Nevertheless, above 156.48 will target a test on 157.74/158.19 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 147.30) holds, we’d still favor more rally to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. But sustained trading below 55 month EMA will at least neutralize medium term bullishness and re-open the chance of revisiting 122.75 low (2016 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.50; (P) 190.84; (R1) 191.31; More….

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50 will extend larger up trend to 100% projection at 195.40. On the downside, however, break of 190.32 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 180.70; (P) 182.02; (R1) 182.76; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 184.15 extends lower today but overall it’s staying in range above 178.32. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of will resume the decline from 188.63 and target 38.2% retracement of 148.93 to 188.63 at 173.46. However, decisive break of 184.30 will argue that pull back from 188.63 has completed and bring retest of this high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are currently seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.51; (P) 139.28; (R1) 139.95; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 131.51 extends today and focus remains on 139.88 resistance. Sustained trading above 139.88 will dampen our bearish view and bring stronger rise to 143.93 resistance next. Nevertheless, reversal from current level, followed by 137.35 support will confirm completion of rebound from 131.51. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 131.51 low.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. Fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high). Below 131.51 will target 122.36 low first. And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 139.88 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 139.88 will mix up the outlook and we’ll reassess on the final structure of the rebound from 131.51.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 190.57; (P) 190.95; (R1) 191.55; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is back on the upside with breach of 191.12 temporary top. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 178.71 to 188.90 from 185.21 at 191.50 will extend larger up trend to 100% projection at 195.40. On the downside, however, break of 190.32 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.27; (P) 139.56; (R1) 140.13; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral as it losses momentum ahead of 140.31 resistance. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume the rebound from 133.03 for retesting 142.71 resistance next. On the downside, break of 137.19 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 134.40 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY dropped to 133.85 last week but recovered since then. As a temporary was formed, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. But upside of recovery should be limited by 136.05 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 133.85 will extend the decline from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, break of 136.05 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 137.78 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 month EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.44; (P) 131.19; (R1) 131.73; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumed by taking out 130.64 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside. as noted before, corrective rebound from 123.94 should have completed. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 123.94 low. On the upside, break of 133.18 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.88; (P) 139.25; (R1) 139.63; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 139.73 suggests resumption of whole rise from 123.94. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07 next. On the downside, break of 137.84 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is currently seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.67; (P) 151.95; (R1) 152.14; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, above 152.38 will reaffirm the case that correction from 153.39 has already completed, and bring retest of this high next. However, break of 149.03 will bring deeper fall to extend the correction from 153.39.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.60; (P) 154.41; (R1) 154.91; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 157.74 is seen as the third leg of the consolidative pattern from 158.19. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 155.20) will target 148.94 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 157.74 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are currently seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

GBP/JPY’s rise from 163.02 lost momentum ahead of 169.07 minor resistance last week. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 169.07 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 172.11 high. However, break of 166.08 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 172.11 with another fall.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 151.94) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.60; (P) 131.21; (R1) 131.77; More…

With 132.24 minor resistance intact, further decline is expected in GBP/JPY for retesting 126.54 low. However, break of 132.24 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 135.74 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.90; (P) 140.94; (R1) 141.50; More…

The break of 140.43 minor support argues that GBP/JPY’s rebound from 136.44 has completed at 144.77 already. And, the correction from 148.42 is starting the third leg. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 136.44 support and possibly below. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 144.77 will extend the rise from 136.44 to 148.42 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

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