Sat, Jul 11, 2020 @ 10:59 GMT

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.44; (P) 139.85; (R1) 140.26; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 141.50 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 135.74 resistance turned support holds.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.77; (P) 142.15; (R1) 142.44; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in range below 144.84 and intraday bias remains neutral first. At this point, rebound from 131.51 might still extend. But we’d expect strong resistance from trend line (now at 146.93) to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.59; (P) 137.19; (R1) 137.63; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 135.38 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 139.43) and above.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.60; (P) 139.37; (R1) 139.84; More

GBP/JPY is still staying in tight range above 138.53 support and intraday bias stays neutral. Price actions from 148.42 are forming a consolidation pattern. And there is no clear sign of completion yet. On the downside, break of 138.53 support would trigger bring deeper fall to 136.44 support and possibly below. We’d expect strong support from 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.79 resistance will turn bias to the upside and send GBP/JPY through 144.77 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.60; (P) 152.20; (R1) 152.67; More…

With 151.51 minor support intact, rebound from 149.40 is expected to continue to 153.39 resistance. Break will resume medium term rally. On the downside, below 151.51 minor support will extend the corrective pattern with another fall through 149.40 before completion.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up a bit with last week’s sharp decline. But still, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And the corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.76; (P) 142.18; (R1) 142.89; More

GBP/JPY edges higher today and intraday bias remains mildly on the upside for 144.77 resistance. Rise from 136.44 is seen as the second leg of the consolidation pattern from 148.42. Break of 144.77 will target a test on this 148.42 high. On the downside, below 140.67 minor support will turn bias back to the downside and extend the fall fro 144.77 through 138.53.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.58; (P) 148.03; (R1) 148.49; More…

GBP/JPY recovers today but stays below 149.29. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 147.04 temporary low could extend. But upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 147.04 will target 144.97 first. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.77; (P) 153.39; (R1) 153.97; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall from 156.07 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 150.18 support. As 156.07 is seen as a short term top. Break of 15018 will target 149.96 key support level. On the upside, above 154.01 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 156.07 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And there would be prospect of retesting 122.36 in that case.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.77; (P) 144.64; (R1) 146.03; More….

GBP/JPY reaches as high as 145.58 so far as rise from 138.65 extends. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 148.09/42 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 122.36 for key fibonacci level at 150.43. On the downside, below 143.256 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a consolidative pattern. And medium term rally from 122.36 is expected to resume later. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case of another fall, we’d bee looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s pull back from 148.09 extended to 143.34 last week. But the cross drew support from 38.2% retracement of 135.58 to 148.09 at 143.31 and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 145.78 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 148.09 first. Meanwhile, break of 143.34 will extend the pull back from 148.09 to 61.8% retracement at 140.35. Overall, we’d still expect the rise from 122.36 to resume after pull back from 148.09 completes. Break of 148.09 will target 150.42 long term fibonacci level first.

In the bigger picture, based on current momentum, rise from 122.36 bottom should be developing into a medium term move. Break of 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42 should pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. This will now be the favored case as long as 135.58 support holds.

In the longer term picture, based on the impulsive structure of the decline from 195.86 to 122.36, such fall should not be completed yet. But we will now pay close attention to the structure of the rise from 122.36 to determine whether it’s a corrective move, or an impulsive move. That would decide whether a break of 116.83 low would be seen.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Weekly Chart

GBP/JPY Monthly Chart

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.84; (P) 141.28; (R1) 141.63; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and hits as high as 142.79 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 126.54 should target trend line resistance (now at 143.52) next. Sustained break will pave the way to 148.87 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 140.83 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.31 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 126.54 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Further rally could be seen but for now, we’d expect strong resistance from 156.59 to limit upside. On the downside, sustained break of 135.74 resistance turned support will suggest that such rebound has completed. Deeper decline could the be seen to retest 126.54 low.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.38; (P) 150.82; (R1) 151.92; More

GBP/JPY’s pull back from 152.82 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen. But downside of retreat should be contained above 146.57 support to bring another rally. Above 152.82 will extend the larger rise from 122.36 to 61.8% projection of 122.36 to 148.42 from 139.29 at 155.39 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is in progress. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. For now, the bullish scenario is preferred as long as 139.29 support holds.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.30; (P) 134.65; (R1) 134.97; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 133.85. Further fall is expected with 136.05 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 133.85 will extend the decline from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, break of 136.05 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 137.78 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY dropped to 142.83 last week but formed a temporary low ahead of 142.76. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Some consolidation could be seen. But near term outlook remains cautiously bearish as long as 145.83 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 142.76 will pave the way to 139.29/47 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) could still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

In the longer term picture, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead (116.83 as 2011 low).

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY stayed in range trading below 148.10 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 148.10 will resume the rebound from 143.18 and target 149.99, and then 153.84 resistance. However, break of 145.82 minor support will argue that the rebound from 143.18 is completed and bring retest of this low.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.83) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.15; (P) 138.16; (R1) 139.17; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside with 139.82 minor resistance intact. Current decline from 147.95 should target 61.8% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 from 134.71 next. On the upside, above 139.82 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside for now, as long as 144.95 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, Rejection by 148.87 resistance argues that rise from 126.54 is probably just third third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Medium term outlook is turned neutral first. Break of 126.54 support would resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) through 122.75 low.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.90; (P) 145.10; (R1) 145.78; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 149.70 is in progress. As noted before, whole rise from 139.88 should have completed at 149.70 already. Deeper fall would be seen to 142.59 support first. Break will pave the way to retest 139.88 low. On the upside, break of 146.40 resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 149.70. Otherwise, near term outlook will now stay mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.56; (P) 132.13; (R1) 132.93; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Another fall is in favor as long as 133.17 minor resistance holds. Below 130.64 will target a test on 123.94 low. Nevertheless, break of 130.64 will turn bias to the upside for 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.91; (P) 133.24; (R1) 133.66; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective rebound from 123.94 could have already completed at 135.74 already. On the downside, break of 131.90 will resume the fall from 135.74 and target a retest on 123.94 low. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

- advertisement -

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.37; (P) 142.69; (R1) 142.97; More…

With 141.32 minor support intact, rebound from 139.88 short term bottom is in favor to continue. GBP/JPY be targeting 55 day EMA (now at 144.78). However, on the downside, below 141.32 minor support will likely extend larger down trend and turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the current downside accelerate makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

- advertisement -
- advertisement -