GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.47; (P) 142.28; (R1) 142.85; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment as it’s bounded in consolidation above 141.24 temporary low. With 144.01 support turned resistance intact, near term outlook stays mildly bearish for deeper decline. Break of 141.24 will extend the fall from 147.76 to 138.65 support and below. As GBP/JPY is seen as staying in consolidation pattern from 148.42, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside. On the upside, break of 144.01 will indicate completion of the decline from 147.76 and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. But we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.30; (P) 136.87; (R1) 137.23; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside at this point. Fall from 148.87 is resuming and deeper decline should be see to 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 138.32 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s decline resumed last week to close at 129.68. The development affirmed the view that corrective rebound form 123.94 has completed at 135.74. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44. Firm break there will target a test on 123.94 low. On the upside, above 131.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) could be resuming. Break of 116.83 will target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY’s strong break of 184.15 resistance last week indicates that corrective fall from 188.63 has completed at 178.32. But as a temporary top was formed at 186.14, initial bias is neutral this week first. Further rally is in favor as long as 182.73 minor support holds. Break of 186.14 will target 188.63 high next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 188.63 medium term top are seen as a correction to the up trend from 148.93 (2022 low) only. As long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in favor to resume through 188.63 at a later stage.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress despite loss of upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, as long as 172.11 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.55; (P) 160.65; (R1) 162.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Current development suggests that fall from 165.99 is a falling leg of the whole decline from 172.11. Deeper decline is expected as long as 164.12 resistance holds. Break of 158.54 will target a retest on 155.33 low. However, break of 164.12 resistance will bring stronger rise back to 165.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.83; (P) 180.74; (R1) 181.64; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 179.45 will resume the correction from 183.90 to 55 D EMA (now at 177.39). On the upside, firm break of 183.99 high will resume larger up trend to 187.36 projection level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36, and then 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.15; (P) 143.54; (R1) 144.22; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. As long as 144.02 support turned resistance holds, another decline remains mildly in favor. Below 141.17 will target 139.29/47 key support zone. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, decisive break of 144.02 will suggest near term reversal. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 145.18) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) could still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.43; (P) 151.82; (R1) 152.50; More…

Intraday bias in GBP?JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rise from 148.93 should target 152.82 resistance first. Sustained break there will suggest that correction from 156.05 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, break of 150.97 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 149.03 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.27; (P) 139.74; (R1) 140.06; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 141.50 is extending. In case of another fall, downside should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 135.74 resistance turned support holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 174.11; (P) 174.94; (R1) 175.52; More…

Further rise is expected in GBP/JPY with 172.64 support intact, despite current retreat. Further rise should be seen to 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51 next. Strong resistance could be seen from there to bring pull back, at least on first attempt. But break of 172.64 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 167.82 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.10; (P) 136.35; (R1) 136.54; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 137.83 will extend the rebound from 133.03. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, break of 135.05 will argue that decline from 142.71 is resuming. intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.07; (P) 140.41; (R1) 140.97; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 141.50 is extending. Another fall cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.07; (P) 156.39; (R1) 156.70; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 157.74 and intraday bias remains neutral. Overall, further rise is still expected with 154.86 support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 158.19 high will resume larger up trend to 167.93 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, below 154.86 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support retains medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY stayed in consolidation from 141.50 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 135.74 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 141.50 will resume the rise from 126.54 to for 148.87 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is still in progress with rise from 126.54 as the third leg. Further rise should be seen back to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. For now, we’d expect strong resistance from there to limit upside. And, this will remain the favored case as long as 130.42 support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern. That is, long term down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) and that from 251.09 (2007 high) are still in favor to extend through 116.83 (2011 low). We’ll hold on to this bearish view as long as 156.59 key resistance holds.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 191.37; (P) 192.16; (R1) 192.85; More…..

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 193.51 is probably extending with another falling leg. But further rally is expected as long as 190.02 support holds. On the upside, break of 193.51 will resume larger up trend to 195.86 long term resistance. On the downside, though, break of 190.02 will turn bias to the downside for 187.94 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), and is in progress for 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high). Break of 187.94 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.42; (P) 132.86; (R1) 133.33; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 132.17 will indicate completion of rebound from 126.54. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 126.54. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.68; (P) 140.96; (R1) 141.45; More….

GBP/JPY is staying in range of 138.65/142.75 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 138.65 will resume the decline from 148.09. In that case, we’d look for bottoming signal around 135.58, which is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 142.75 should confirm completion of the fall from 148.09 and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we’re not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we’re looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.73; (P) 183.32; (R1) 183.95; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 186.75 would target 55 D EMA (now at 182.31). Sustained break there will argue that it’s already in a larger scale correction and target 176.29 support next. On the upside, break of 185.67 resistance will indicate that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Further rise should then be seen through 186.75 to resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.54; (P) 149.01; (R1) 149.42; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 149.48 extends lower today but it’s staying above 146.28 minor support. Intraday bias stays neutral first and another rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, decisive break of 149.70 will resume whole rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone. On the downside, below 146.28 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 142.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.26; (P) 148.69; (R1) 149.51; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. With 149.73 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is still expected. Below 146.92 will target 61.8% retracement of 139.29 to 152.82 at 144.45. Such decline is seen as a correction and we’d look for strong support from 144.45 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 149.73 support turned resistance will argue that the pull back is completed and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 152.82 high. However, sustained break of 144.45 will put 139.29 key support in focus.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 122.36 is still expected to resume after corrective pull back from 152.82 completes. Firm break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 139.29 will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart