GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY rebounded further to 140.31 last week but retreat sharply since then. But selling then halted at 4 hour 55 EMA. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 140.31 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 137.83 resistance turned support will argue that the rebound has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03/134.40 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.20) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.30; (P) 138.37; (R1) 138.99; More…

The break of 137.83 resistance turned support suggests that GBP/JPY’s rebound from 133.03 might have completed with three waves up to 140.31. Intraday bias i now back on the downside for 134.40 support first. Break there will likely resume the pattern from 142.71 through 133.03 support. On the upside, though, break of 140.31 resistance will resume the rebound to retest 142.71 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.97; (P) 139.64; (R1) 140.08; More…

GBP/JPY formed a temporary top after hitting 140.31 and retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 137.83 support holds. Above 140.31 will resume the rise from 133.03 and target a test on 142.71 high. Nevertheless, firm break of 137.83 will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 133.03/134.40 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.65; (P) 137.79; (R1) 139.80; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise from 133.03 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 161.8% projection of 133.03 to 137.83 from 134.40 at 142.16, which is close to 142.71 high. On the downside, firm break of 137.83 resistance turned support is now needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.65; (P) 137.79; (R1) 139.80; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 133.03 is extending to 100% projection of 133.03 to 137.83 from 134.40 at 139.20 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 142.16, which is close to 142.71 high. On the downside, however, below 136.60 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.51; (P) 135.88; (R1) 136.28; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 133.03 resumes by taking out 137.83 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 133.03 to 137.83 from 134.40 at 139.20 first. Break will target 100% projection at 142.16, which is close to 142.71 high. On the downside, however, below 136.60 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.51; (P) 135.88; (R1) 136.28; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and sideway range trading continues. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY stayed in sideway trading between 134.40 and 137.83 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first . As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.20) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY turned into sideway consolidation last week but outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 125.08 resistance holds, the corrective decline from 127.07 is still expected to extend lower. On the downside, break of 121.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. We’d look for strong support there to contain downside to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.38; (P) 135.85; (R1) 136.60; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.98; (P) 136.18; (R1) 136.99; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.59; (P) 136.15; (R1) 137.13; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.62; (P) 135.28; (R1) 135.92; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.62; (P) 135.28; (R1) 135.92; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for now. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY dropped to 134.40 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 137.83 resistance holds, further decline is in favor. Below 134.40 will target 133.03 support first. Break there will resume larger fall from 142.71 to 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 144.20) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.62; (P) 135.28; (R1) 135.92; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside at this point, for 133.03 support. Break there will confirm resumption of whole decline from 142.71. Next target will be 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, 136.55 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 137.83 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.79; (P) 135.54; (R1) 136.19; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 133.03 support first. Break there will confirm resumption of whole decline from 142.71. Next target will be 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, 136.55 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 137.83 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.10; (P) 136.35; (R1) 136.54; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 135.38 support suggests that recovery from 133.03 has completed. Corrective fall from 142.71 is possibly resume to resume. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 133.03 support first. Break will confirm and target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, 136.5 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 137.83 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.10; (P) 136.35; (R1) 136.54; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 137.83 will extend the rebound from 133.03. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, break of 135.05 will argue that decline from 142.71 is resuming. intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.19; (P) 136.63; (R1) 136.96; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 137.83 will extend the rebound from 133.03. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 142.71 high. On the downside, break of 135.05 will argue that decline from 142.71 is resuming. intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.