GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.97; (P) 128.83; (R1) 129.48; More

A temporary low is in place at 128.11 and intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen but upside should be limited below 133.85 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 128.10 will target 122.36 low next.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.76; (P) 154.03; (R1) 154.44; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 154.40 temporary top. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.24 support holds. On the upside, above 154.40 will resume the larger up trend 156.59 key resistance, and then 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. However, break of 151.24 will suggest that deeper correction is underway, and turn bias back to the downside for 149.03 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.99; (P) 144.83; (R1) 145.30; More…

GBP/JPY formed a temporary top at 145.67 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 142.81 minor support holds, another rise is mildly in favor. Above 145.67 will target trend line resistance (now at 147.01). Firm break there will be a signal of bullish reversal and should target 149.30 resistance for confirmation. However, break of 142.81 will argue that the rebound form 139.88 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for 139.29/47 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. Focus remains on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.11; (P) 148.20; (R1) 148.94; More…

GBP/JPY is staying above 147.04 so far despite the sharp fall from 149.29. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 147.04 could extend further. But in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 150.60 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 147.04 will target 144.97 first. Break there will resume the fall from 156.59 and target 100% projection of 156.59 to 144.97 from 153.84 at 142.22 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 156.59 as a corrective move. Therefore, while deeper fall is expected, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. There is still prospect of extending the rise from 122.36. However, considering that GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.94), firm break of 139.29 will confirm trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.81; (P) 161.23; (R1) 161.96; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 161.80 will argue that whole correction from 172.11 has completed at 55.33. Further rally should be seen back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.16; (P) 151.61; (R1) 152.22; More…

Range trading continues in GBP/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 152.38 will reaffirm the case that correction from 153.39 has already completed, and bring retest of this high next. However, break of 149.03 will bring deeper fall to extend the correction from 153.39.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.31; (P) 143.84; (R1) 144.83; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Decisive break of 61.8% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 144.62 will target 147.95 medium term structural resistance. On the downside, however, break of 142.81 support would now indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise of 123.94 is still as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.62; (P) 154.85; (R1) 155.15; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in consolidation from 156.05 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 153.81 support holds. Break of 156.05 will resume larger up trend for 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, firm break of 153.81 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.90; (P) 154.29; (R1) 154.56; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 154.80 temporary top. On the upside, break of 154.80 will resume larger up trend to 156.59 key resistance first. Break will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 149.03 resistance holds, in case of pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.24; (P) 185.80; (R1) 186.90; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current up trend should extend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20. On the downside, below 184.67 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.24; (P) 150.12; (R1) 150.85; More…

As long as 151.85 minor resistance holds, pull back from 153.39 should extend lower for 146.96 key support level. We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 151.85 minor resistance will indicate that the pull back is finished. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 153.39.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up a bit with last week’s sharp decline. But still, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. And the corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.54; (P) 187.41; (R1) 188.84; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target is 161.8% projection of 178.02 to 183.79 from 180.74 at 190.07. On the downside, below 187.26 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, as long as 178.02 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 183.79 resistance turned support holds, in case of deep pullback.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.98; (P) 186.51; (R1) 187.37; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 184.44 would extend to retest 188.26 high first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside though, below 184.44 support will resume the fall from 188.26 to 183.79 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 180.74 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress, next target is 195.86 (2015 high). However, firm break of 180.74 will now argue that a medium term top is formed, possibly in bearish divergence condition in D MACD, and bring deeper fall back to 178.02 support.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.81; (P) 182.38; (R1) 183.38; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 183.99 high will resume larger up trend. Nevertheless, break of 180.41 will turn bias to the downside, to bring another fall to extend the corrective pattern from 183.99.

In the bigger picture, as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is expected to continue through 183.99 at a later stage, towards 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 172.11 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.43; (P) 151.77; (R1) 152.28; More…

GBP/JPY’s rise from 149.03 resumes by taking out 152.38. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 153.39 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 123.94. Next target is 156.69 long term resistance. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 151.24 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.50; (P) 185.22; (R1) 185.89; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with today’s recovery. On the upside, decisive break of 186.45 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20. On the downside, below 184.53 will bring another corrective fall to 183.23 resistance turned support, and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.55; (P) 155.02; (R1) 155.50; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 156.05 is still extending. Further rise is in favor with 153.81 support intact. On the upside, break of 156.05 will resume larger up trend for 61.8% projection of 133.03 to 153.39 from 149.03 at 161.61. On the downside, firm break of 153.81 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back, to 55 day EMA (now at 152.95) first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus is now on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, break of 149.03 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.15; (P) 138.16; (R1) 139.17; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside with 139.82 minor resistance intact. Current decline from 147.95 should target 61.8% retracement of 126.54 to 147.95 from 134.71 next. On the upside, above 139.82 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside for now, as long as 144.95 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, Rejection by 148.87 resistance argues that rise from 126.54 is probably just third third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Medium term outlook is turned neutral first. Break of 126.54 support would resume larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) through 122.75 low.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY rose to as high as 148.88 last week before forming a temporary top there and retreated. As the whole rebound form 143.18 has resumed, further rise is now expected s long as 146.79 support holds. Above 148.88 will target 149.99 resistance. Break there will add more credence to the larger bullish case and target 153.84 resistance next. On the downside, though break of 146.79 will argue that the rebound from 143.76 might be finished and turn bias back to the downside

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.36) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

GBP/JPY Weekly Outlook

GBP/JPY edged higher to 185.94 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week and more consolidations could be seen. But in case of another dip, downside should be contained above 182.71 support to bring another rally. Break of 185.94 will resume the rebound from 178.02 to retest 186.75 high next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress but started losing upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, though, as long as 176.29 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).