Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.17; (P) 150.75; (R1) 151.15; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 148.43 should have completed at 153.42 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to retest 148.43 support first. On the upside, above 151.75 minor resistance should turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 153.28 resistance is now needed to indicate resumption of rebound from 148.43. Otherwise, risk will stay mildly on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back to 142.71 resistance turned support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.77; (P) 152.02; (R1) 152.23; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral on loss of upside momentum. But further rally is mildly in favor with 151.32 minor support intact. Above 152.27 will target 153.42 resistance first. Decisive break there will argue that whole corrective pattern from 156.05 has completed, and bring retest of this high. On the downside, however, break of 151.32 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 149.16 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

GBP/JPY dropped to as low as 138.50 last week as the decline from 148.87 extended. Downside momentum diminished mildly but there is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Further decline is expected initial this week to 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 131.51 low. On the upside, break of 141.73 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.00; (P) 143.43; (R1) 143.79; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 147.95 might extend. But downside is still expected to be contained above 142.47 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 147.95 will target 148.87 structural resistance first. Break will target 156.59 key resistance next. However, break of 142.47 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back to 139.31 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. Rejection from there will extend long term range trading. Decisive break of 156.69 will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 188.67; (P) 189.75; (R1) 190.44; More….

Risk stays on the downside in GBP/JPY as long as 191.29 short term top holds. Break of 188.90 resistance turned support will extend the decline to 38.2% retracement of 178.32 to 191.29 at 186.33.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 178.32 support holds. Next target is 195.86 long term resistance (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.28; (P) 165.98; (R1) 166.42; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral first with today’s recovery. On the downside, below 165.43 will bring deeper fall to retest 163.02 support. On the upside, break of 168.99 will resume the rebound from 163.02 to retest 172.11 high.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) could still resume through 172.11 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 159.71 support will argue that it’s already in correction to the up trend from 123.94, and deeper decline would be seen back towards 148.93 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.06; (P) 137.77; (R1) 138.46; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. The choppy decline from 144.77 is still in progress and should target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Overall, price action from 148.42 are seen as a consolidation pattern. We’ll look for bottoming around 135.39. Meanwhile, break of 140.08 resistance is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 184.42; (P) 184.88; (R1) 185.40; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should extend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20. On the downside, below 183.44 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

GBP/JPY edged higher to 135.74 last week but failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, sustained break of 135.07 will extend the rebound from 126.54 to 61.8% retracement at 140.33 next. However, break of 132.17 support will suggest rejection by 135.07 and turned bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 low.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will extend 116.83 (2011 low).

In the longer term picture, for now, we’re treating price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) as a corrective pattern. Hence, strong support could be seen at 122.75 to bring rebound before the pattern completes. However, sustained break will raise the chance of resuming long term down trend from 251.09 (2007 high). Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.36 from 156.59 at 111.16.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.57; (P) 148.11; (R1) 148.67; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 149.70 is extending. With 145.67 support intact, outlook stays bullish and further rally is expected. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.05; (P) 147.65; (R1) 148.31; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally from 131.51 should target 149.48 resistance next. Decisive break there will pave the way to 156.95 key resistance next. On the downside, below 146.98 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 141.00/144.84 support zone to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline in turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.80; (P) 131.83; (R1) 132.36; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral and further fall is in favor with 133.17 minor resistance intact. Corrective rebound from 123.94 might have completed. Break of 130.63 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 123.94 low. Nevertheless, break of 130.64 will turn bias to the upside for 61.8% retracement of 144.95 to 123.94 at 136.92.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.29; (P) 138.70; (R1) 139.36; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this moment. Deeper decline is mildly in favor as long as 140.60 resistance holds. Below 137.75 will target 136.44 support and below. But we’d expect support from 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 140.60 resistance will turn bias to the upside and send GBP/JPY through 144.77 resistance. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are forming a consolidation pattern.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.01; (P) 151.66; (R1) 152.11; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 153.39 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 149.74 support holds. Break of 153.39 will resume the medium term up trend and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. However, break of 149.74 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 146.96 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rise from 122.36 is resuming. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. In that case, GBP/JPY could target 61.8% retracement at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate rejection from 150.43 key fibonacci level. And the three wave corrective structure of rebound from 122.36 will argue that larger down trend is resuming for a new low below 122.26.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.50; (P) 150.88; (R1) 151.60; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first, with focus on 141.95 resistance. Break there will indicate that correction from 153.39 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 153.39 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen at 148.50 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Next target is 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. On the downside, break of 142.71 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY’s rise from 178.02 resumed by breaking through 183.79 last week. Initial bias is on the upside this week for retesting 186.75 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 182.71 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

In the longer term picture, rise from 122.75 (2016 low) in still in progress but started losing upside momentum as seen in W MACD. Further rise will remain in favor, though, as long as 176.29 support holds, to retest 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.71; (P) 150.23; (R1) 151.07; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 151.38 resistance holds. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 143.78 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 151.38 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 153.42 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 149.03 support holds, such rise would still resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 149.03 support will indicate rejection by 156.59. Fall from 156.05 would be at least correcting the whole rise from 123.94. Deeper fall would be seen back 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 156.05 at 143.78 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.45; (P) 148.02; (R1) 148.78; More…

GBP/JPY is still bounded in sideway consolidation from 149.70 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 145.67 support intact, outlook stays bullish and further rally is expected. On the upside, above 149.70 will target 153.84/156.69 resistance zone next. However, break of 145.67 will suggest that the rebound from 139.88 has completed and turn near term outlook bearish again.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY has successfully defended 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). And, the rally from 122.36 (2016 low) is still intact. Such medium to long term rise would extend through 156.96 high. This will now be the preferred case as long as 145.67 near term support holds. However, break of 145.67 will turn focus back to 139.29/47 key support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.67; (P) 163.67; (R1) 164.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 165.99 resume the whole rebound from 155.33 to 169.26 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 162.95 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias to the downside for 158.24 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.51; (P) 163.25; (R1) 164.09; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Correction from 168.40 could extend further. IN case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 150.95 to 168.40 at 157.61 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 168.40 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.