Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.58; (P) 142.92; (R1) 143.32; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 142.22 temporary low. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited well below 146.50 resistance to bring fall resumption. Current development argues that whole rebound from 131.51 has completed at 148.87 already, ahead of 149.48 key resistance. On the downside, break of 142.22 will resume the decline from 148.87 to 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.83; (P) 136.54; (R1) 137.23; More…

GBP/JPY is staying in range of 135.05/137.83 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 137.83 will resume the rebound from 133.03 to retest 142.71 high. On the downside, firm break of 135.05 support will suggest that rebound from 133.03 has completed. Also, in this case fall from 142.71 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 133.03, and then 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.21; (P) 139.61; (R1) 139.87; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 140.20 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 137.84 support holds. Rise from 123.94 has just resumed and break of 140.20 will target 100% projection of 123.94 to 135.74 from 129.27 at 141.07. However, break of 137.84 will indicate short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is still seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.23; (P) 129.97; (R1) 131.17; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the upside. Recovery from 126.54 short term bottom would target 4 hour EMA (now at 133.21). Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 128.75 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 126.54 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).

GBP/JPY stayed in range above 155.33 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week and further decline is in favor. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall from 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 161.04) will turn bias to the upside, for stronger rise back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

In the longer term picture, as long as 55 month EMA (now at 152.38) holds, rise from 122.75 could still extend higher at a later stage.

GBP/JPY’s fall and break of 137.90 minor support revived that case that corrective rebound from 133.03 has completed 140.70. The pattern from 142.71 should have started the third leg. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 134.40 support and then 133.03. This will now remain the favored case as long as 140.70 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 143.38) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.79; (P) 143.09; (R1) 143.59; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Rebound from 139.88 should have completed at 145.67. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 139.88 low first. Break will target 139.29/47 key support zone. On the upside, above 144.20 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 145.67 and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. Focus remains on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.28; (P) 146.92; (R1) 147.43; More…

A temporary top should be in place at 147.54 with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 144.47 support to bring another rally. On the upside, sustained break of 149.75 structural resistance will carry larger bullish implications, and target 100% projection of 123.94 to 142.71 from 133.03 at 151.80 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the sideway pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Break of 147.95 will target 156.59 resistance (2018 high). On the downside, break of 133.03 support is needed to confirm completion of the rise from 123.94. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor even in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.38; (P) 132.02; (R1) 132.45; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 135.74 is in progress. Corrective rebound from 126.54 should have completed with three waves up to 135.74, after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 148.87 to 126.54 at 135.07. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 126.54 low. On the upside, break of 133.35 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low) is possibly still in progress. Strong rebound from 126.54 argues that it may be the third leg of the pattern. Further rise could be seen to 148.87/156.59 resistance zone before completion. On the downside, though, sustained break of 122.75 low will target 116.83 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.03; (P) 151.84; (R1) 153.21; More…

GBP/JPY drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 153.66 will resume medium term up trend. Meanwhile, break of 149.40 support will indicate trend reversal and turn focus to 149.96 for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, the steep fall from 153.66 is now seen as first sign of trend reversal. Focus will turn to 146.96 support. Firm break there will at least confirm medium term topping and target 139.39 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.58; (P) 142.92; (R1) 143.32; More…

GBP/JPY’s fall resumes after brief consolidation and hits as low as 141.33 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 131.51 to 148.87 at 138.14 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 131.51 low. On the upside, above 143.24 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY was rejected by 149.98 key resistance. And medium term fall from 156.59 is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). On the other hand, decisive break of 149.98 should confirm that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed at 131.51 already. Further rally would be seen back to 156.59 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.84; (P) 184.29; (R1) 185.12; More…

GBP/JPY’s rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current up trend should extend to 61.8% projection of 158.24 to 183.99 from 176.29 at 192.20. On the downside, below 183.44 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.98; (P) 157.14; (R1) 158.68; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 168.40 would target 150.95 key structural support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 159.59 support turned resistance holds in case of recovery. Nevertheless, firm break of 159.59 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds, even in case of deep pull back. However, firm break of 150.95 will indicate rejection by 167.93, and bearish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.99; (P) 139.64; (R1) 140.03; More…

GBP/JPY dips mildly today but it’s, after all, bounded in range of 138.53/142.79. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. We’re treating price actions from 148.42 as a corrective pattern. Break of 138.53 support will bring deeper decline to 136.44 support and possibly below. However, we’d expect strong support at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.11; (P) 156.48; (R1) 156.77; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the upside for 157.74/158.19 resistance zone Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 155.11 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the consolidation pattern from 158.19 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 158.19 are seen as developing into a consolidation pattern to up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Downside should be contained by 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10 to bring rebound. Firm break of 158.19 will resume the up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, sustained break of 145.10 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 137.02.

GBP/JPY gyrated lower last week but downside was contained above 140.62 support so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, above 144.84 will extend the rebound from 131.51. But we’d expect strong resistance from trend line (now at 146.93) to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, firm break of 140.62 will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline is turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.38 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 122.36 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) doesn’t display a clear impulsive structure. Thus, we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 131.51 support will bring 122.26 low back into focus.

GBP/JPY’s decline last week argues that corrective rebound from 133.03 has completed at 140.31. Initial bias is neutral this week first with another fall expected. Break of 137.19 will target 134.40 support to confirm this bearish case. However, on the upside, break of 138.86 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 140.31 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, repeated rejection by 55 month EMA indicate long term bearishness in the cross. Down trend from 251.09 (2007 high) should eventually resume through 122.75 to 116.83 (2011 low) and below. However, sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 143.38) will dampen this view and could open up further rise back to 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.51; (P) 156.59; (R1) 157.25; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is still mildly on the downside as pull back from 158.19 could extend towards 55 day EMA (now at 153.04). On the upside, break of 158.19 will resume larger up trend from 123.94. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 136.96 to 156.05 from 148.93 at 160.72.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). The stay above 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current rise should now target 61.8% retracement 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93 next. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.93 structural support hold, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY stayed in sideway consolidation above 135.38 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral for more consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 138.32 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 135.38 will extend recent fall from 148.87 to retest 131.51 low. Though, firm break of 135.38 will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 139.63) and above.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that GBP/JPY’s medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Break of 131.51 will target 122.36 (2016 low). Structure of such decline is corrective looking so far, arguing that it’s just the second leg of consolidation from 122.36. Thus, we’d expect strong support from 122.36 to contain downside to bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, firstly, GBP/JPY’s is kept well below 55 month EMA, keeping outlook bearish. But we’re treating price actions from 122.36 as a corrective pattern. Hence, we’d expect range trading to continue longer. In case of an extension, strong resistance is likely to be seen at 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.36 at 159.11 to limit upside. However, break of 122.26 will put 116.83 (2011 low) back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.85; (P) 129.26; (R1) 129.63; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 126.54 might extend further. But outlook remains bearish with 130.06 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 126.54 will extend larger down trend to 122.36 low. However, break of 130.06 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 133.28).

In the bigger picture, outlook remains clearly bearish with GBP/JPY staying well below 55 week and 55 month EMA. Medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 122.36 (2016 low). We’d be cautious on bottoming there. But break of 135.66 resistance is needed to be the first sign of reversal. Sustained break of 122.36 will target next key level at 116.83 (2011 low).