Daily Pivots: (S1) 170.71; (P) 171.36; (R1) 172.60; More…

While GBP/JPY rebounded strongly, upside is limited below 172.30 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 172.30 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 178.51. Nevertheless, firm break of 167.82 support should confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back to 165.40 support and possible below instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 172.11 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break there will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low). Next target will be 161.8% projection of 122.75 (2016 low) to 156.59 (2018 high) from 123.94 at 178.69. Nevertheless, firm break of 165.40 support will indicate rejection by 172.11 and extend the corrective pattern from there with another falling leg.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.01; (P) 152.06; (R1) 152.79; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside for 150.18 support. . Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, the near term trend could have reversed. Break of 150.18 will affirm this case and target 146.96 key support level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 146.96 key support holds, medium term outlook remains bullish. Rise from 122.36 is in favor to extend to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78. However, break of 146.96 support will indicate trend reversal. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 and then 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.79; (P) 135.54; (R1) 136.19; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 133.03 support first. Break there will confirm resumption of whole decline from 142.71. Next target will be 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 142.71 at 131.11. On the upside, 136.55 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 137.83 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen only as a rising leg of the sideway consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). As long as 147.95 resistance holds, an eventual downside breakout remains in favor. However, firm break of 147.95 will raise the chance of long term bullish reversal. Focus will then be turned to 156.59 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.06; (P) 137.77; (R1) 138.46; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. The choppy decline from 144.77 is still in progress and should target medium term fibonacci level at 135.39. Overall, price action from 148.42 are seen as a consolidation pattern. We’ll look for bottoming around 135.39. Meanwhile, break of 140.08 resistance is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern. Or, sustained break of 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 will turn outlook bearish for a test on 122.36 low. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.73; (P) 139.67; (R1) 140.25; More…

GBP/JPY had another attempt at 138.53 support but rebounded from there again. The cross is staying in range of 138.53/142.79 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. On the downside, break of 138.53 support will bring deeper decline to 136.44 support and possibly below. However, we’d expect strong support at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.69; (P) 130.48; (R1) 131.65; More…

Break of 131.41 minor resistance suggests that a temporary low is formed at 129.27. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 133.18 resistance holds. Break of 129.27 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.94 to 135.74 at 128.44. Firm break there will target a test on 123.94 low. However, break of 133.18 will invalidate our bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 135.74 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.75 (2016 low) are merely a sideway consolidation pattern, which has completed at 147.96. Larger down trend from 195.86 (2015 high) as well as that from 251.09 (2007 high) are possibly resuming. Break of 122.75 should target 61.8% projection of 195.86 to 122.75 from 147.95 at 102.76 next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 147.95 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.89; (P) 139.73; (R1) 140.39; More…

GBP/JPY’s decline from 148.20 accelerated by breaking the channel line decisively. 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 138.46 was also taken out firmly. The development suggests that whole corrective rise from 122.36 has completed at 148.42. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 132.31 and below. On the upside, break of 142.16 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of such decline. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Upside is so far limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range. At this point, we don’t expect a break of 122.36 in near term and the corrective pattern would extend for a while.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.25; (P) 146.66; (R1) 147.45; More…

GBP/JPY ‘s fall from 148.87 extends lower today but it’s still staying above 143.72 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 156.58 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 143.72 support will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bearish for 141.00 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 131.51 suggests that medium term fall from 156.59 (2018 high) has completed already. The corrective structure of such decline in turn argues that it’s the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36 (2016 low). And this pattern is starting the third leg. On the upside, decisive break of 149.48 will pave the way to 156.59 resistance and above. However, firm break of 141.00 support will dampen this view and turn focus back to 131.51 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.90; (P) 143.53; (R1) 144.60; More

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for as rebound from 139.29 continues. As noted before, fall from 147.76 has completed at 139.29 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise should be seen for 147.76/148.42 resistance zone. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Break of 141.17 support will turn bias to the downside and bring another fall. But downside should be contained by 135.58 cluster support to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.

GBP/JPY turned into range trading between 151.14 and 153.42 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 153.42/46 resistance will reaffirm the case that correction from 156.05 has completed at 148.43. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 156.05. On the downside, though, below 151.14 will bring deeper fall back to retest 148.43.

In the bigger picture, rise from 123.94 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 122.75 (2016 low). Focus remains on 156.59 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there should confirm long term bullish trend reversal. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 at 167.93. On the downside, sustained break of 149.03 support, however, will argue that rise from 123.94 has completed. Further break of 142.71 would open up the bearish case for retesting 122.75 low.

In the longer term picture, the strong break of 55 months EMA was an early sign of long term bullish reversal. Firm break of 156.69 resistance should now confirm the start of an up trend for 195.86 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.46; (P) 147.45; (R1) 148.57; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 145.99 should confirm completion of rebound from 142.76. And in that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 142.76 and possibly below. On the upside, decisive break of 149.70 will resume whole rise from 139.88 and target 153.84/156.59 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.20; (P) 139.87; (R1) 140.22; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment as it’s bounded in choppy trading inside range of 138.53/142.79. Price actions from 148.42 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. On the downside, break of 138.53 support will bring deeper decline to 136.44 support and possibly below. However, we’d expect strong support at 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 142.79 will turn bias back to the upside for 144.77 and above.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are still seen as a corrective pattern. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.42. Rejection from there will turn the cross into medium term sideway pattern with a test on 122.36 low next. Though, sustained break of 150.42 will extend the rebound towards 61.8% retracement at 167.78.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.09; (P) 164.28; (R1) 164.93; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 165.99 resume the whole rebound from 155.33 to 169.26 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 162.95 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias to the downside for 158.24 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.09; (P) 152.33; (R1) 152.65; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. We’re holding on to the view that corrective rise from 144.97 should have completed at 153.84 already. Hence, another decline is expected in the cross. Break of 150.60 will target 148.37 support first. Break will bring retest of 144.97 low. However, firm break of 153.84 will invalidate our view and extend the rise from 144.97 towards 156.59 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 156.59 are viewed as a corrective pattern. For now, we’d expect at least one more fall for 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 before the consolidation completed. Though, firm break of 156.59 will resume whole up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 at 159.11 next.

GBPJPY dropped to 143.76 last week but rebounded ahead of 143.18. As upside is limited below 146.63 minor resistance, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 146.63 will target a test on 148.10 resistance first. Decisive break there will be a strong signal of near term reversal. Further rally would be seen to 149.99 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 148.13 will extend the fall from 156.59 for 139.25/47 cluster support level.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.

In the longer term picture, the failure to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 153.56) is mixing up the outlook. Nonetheless, as long as 139.29 holds, rise from 122.26 is in favor to extend to 50% retracement of 195.86 (2015high) to 122.36 (2016 low) at 159.11, and possibly further to 61.8% retracement at 167.78 before completion. However, firm break of 139.29 will turn focus back to 116.83/122.36 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.90; (P) 145.10; (R1) 145.78; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 149.70 is in progress. As noted before, whole rise from 139.88 should have completed at 149.70 already. Deeper fall would be seen to 142.59 support first. Break will pave the way to retest 139.88 low. On the upside, break of 146.40 resistance is needed to indicate completion of fall from 149.70. Otherwise, near term outlook will now stay mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) would still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.93; (P) 143.29; (R1) 143.61; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Overall, it’s staying in consolidation from 147.95 and might extend further in the near term. On the downside, break of 142.33 support will turn bias back to the downside for 140.92 support and below. On the upside, above 144.95 would bring retest of 147.95.

In the bigger picture, rise from 126.54 could either be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 122.75 (2016 low), or the start of a new up trend. In either case, further rally is expected as long as 139.31 support holds, into 148.87/156.59 resistance zone. Reaction from there should reveal which case it should be in. However, sustained break of 139.31 support will dampen this case and turn medium term outlook neutral first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.88; (P) 155.47; (R1) 155.80; More…

GBP/JPY’s break of 154.85 support argues that rebound from 148.94 has completed at 157.74, ahead of 158.19 high. Fall from 157.74 is seen as the third leg of the consolidative pattern from 158.19. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 154.11) will target 148.94 support next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 157.74 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound from 148.93 key structural support retains medium term bullishness. Firm break of 158.19 high will resume whole up trend from 123.94 (2020 low), to 61.8% retracement of 195.86 to 122.75 at 167.93. Nevertheless, firm break of 148.93 will bring deeper correction to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 158.19 at 145.10, and possibly further lower, as a correction to up trend from 123.94 at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.81; (P) 183.57; (R1) 184.18; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations could be seen. But further rise is expected as long as 180.74 support holds. Above 184.29 will resume the rally from 178.02, and target retest of 186.75 high.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.78; (P) 164.25; (R1) 164.84; More…

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 165.26 minor resistance will argue that corrective pattern from 168.67 has completed. Further rise should be seen to retest 168.67 high next. On the downside, break of 160.37 will bring deeper fall back towards 155.57 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.